TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,521 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed Over44c22,184$9,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,661.311172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over42c10,173$4,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,290.172,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.984753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c9,969$5,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,229.211,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under55c8,915$4,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,034.169,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Under52c3,793$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.785947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Under51c2,727$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.337236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over1c1,694$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.161957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Over49c1,626$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.8914243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under55c1,541$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.4366248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over44c1,268$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.8827735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c1,062$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.1290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under52c1,062$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.1258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c1,058$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.831,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under52c1,058$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.8329849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c1,056$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.431,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over47c970.14$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.9618444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c954.36$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over43c910.1$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.351,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under53c840.85$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.6371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under55c839.71$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.541,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under53c805.82$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.197852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Under50c644.64$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.3213551.1%69 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over2c615.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.550241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over44c513.36$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.542,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under53c490.17$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.311,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under53c478.16$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.2942352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under43c477.91$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.0168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Over58c469.61$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.0613253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under59c458.36$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.41,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under56c421.77$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.16,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over45c417.69$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.963,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over30c414.3$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2911033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over43c388.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2747436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a58…f9d8backed Under75c376.29$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.62540%10 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over44c368.79$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.274,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over46c358.96$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.241,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under57c311.83$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0965762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.582440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under53c287.17$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0235052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over44c249.37$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5829345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over44c217.49$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.661,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over45c201.56$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9713148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ed…e098backed Under75c181.35$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.515252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under54c173.16$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0632450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under54c166.17$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1636852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under56c162.25$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9613052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under54c159.97$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8553348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under56c157.94$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4934953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under54c150.38$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1756843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under54c146.72$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9951647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Over48c133.66$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.161250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Under51c133.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2811354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Under52c130.76$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.779854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over25c127.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9826336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over13c126.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8212227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under52c124.84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9232952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over41c116.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.861,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over43c114.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.661,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over49c105.21$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.693,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under52c104.34$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0814946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under56c100.59$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5512752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under56c100.4$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3741449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under56c100.4$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3761151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c100.09$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.055,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c99.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.242,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c97.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.065,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over46c96.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5161638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe961…c32bbacked Over50c96.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3711459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under57c94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4250351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over50c93.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.42,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe847…b7e2backed Over44c84.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under56c82.06$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2612857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76d…6a8ebacked Over47c80.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.723956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over47c80.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0644551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d5…7620backed Over50c77.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.83253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Over42c68.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.837164.8%46 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under54c67.42$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.811,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Under47c67.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.976848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Over44c65.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9912147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…10d9backed Under51c58.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.541428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-46.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over47c57.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1264844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dda…1768backed Over60c50.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over43c44.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3225348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2720…7549backed Over58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.781233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under54c43.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8557051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under54c41.81$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.231,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c40.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.031,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe6…4acbbacked Over45c39.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under57c38.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7637253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under59c37.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4127553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc67f…16c3backed Over54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.45757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f14…2573backed Over50c35.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-42.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Under57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.77149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under56c33.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.947153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Under53c32.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.334763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.