TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Hawks, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,358 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Knicks45c22,298$10,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,264.0566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Knicks55c11,739$6,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,282.6717251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Hawks45c10,250$4,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,612.561,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Knicks45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50014338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks52c7,500$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,935.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hawks55c4,865$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.7548845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Knicks58c4,382$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.7614556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hawks36c4,108$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.742,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks53c3,461$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.761,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Hawks47c3,090$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.320843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hawks55c2,478$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.5170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks42c2,300$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.083,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Knicks54c1,715$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.41,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Knicks54c1,631$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.486144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Knicks80c1,487$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.564067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Knicks45c1,442$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.182913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-70.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks46c1,141$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.94,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab3b…bac1backed Knicks54c1,098$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.873066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Hawks47c1,046$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.466656.1%37 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4b4…2294backed Hawks42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Knicks53c928.79$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.5358740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Hawks46c870$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.211556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Knicks53c842.72$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.7762744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Hawks47c824$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2836143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Hawks46c821.64$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.9581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hawks55c780.81$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.441,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks55c780.81$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.441,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Hawks55c780.81$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.4458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks48c758.79$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.462,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hawks55c729.75$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.361,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Hawks55c679.96$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.6744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Hawks55c660.46$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.2571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Knicks48c611.29$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.7216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Hawks45c573.17$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.7595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Knicks53c565.31$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.910255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Knicks53c541.47$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.498348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Hawks47c515$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.057447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba99…26bbbacked Knicks64c508.54$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.221752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks55c480.96$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.533,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Hawks52c472.74$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1313052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Hawks55c412.82$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.294032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1881,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Hawks58c390.59$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.61,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks47c377.18$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a91…e0aebacked Hawks46c373.91$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Knicks54c363.98$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4314852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Knicks54c360.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6776250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Hawks43c352.39$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1110239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hawks53c322.63$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.062,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Knicks50c253.62$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.55448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Hawks45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.514959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Hawks55c231.31$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2229849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hawks47c231.21$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.241,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hawks47c210.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.271,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Hawks55c205.53$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0442352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Knicks53c194.07$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2149247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Knicks53c193.36$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8840750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Hawks55c189.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0227553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Knicks54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8311833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Knicks54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.831,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks43c178.91$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Knicks46c171.27$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1226336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e3…206fbacked Knicks50c166.49$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf40f…c3bcbacked Knicks53c166.06$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x890a…7623backed Hawks46c163.03$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.991030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a2…3c41backed Hawks48c162.54$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Knicks53c156.05$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.871,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hawks50c136.9$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.192,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Hawks54c133$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Knicks58c118.89$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4995049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Knicks54c116.69$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.685166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3972…81f6backed Knicks54c108.04$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.72857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Hawks47c105.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3767949.8%338 W · 341 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Hawks47c104.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.646848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Hawks47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4111558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Hawks47c101.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7361638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Knicks42c101.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks55c101.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.541,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Hawks46c100.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1423435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Hawks45c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9953339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Hawks41c97.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9237753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8159…ed58backed Knicks55c97.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7926246.6%122 W · 140 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Hawks55c97.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5212845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Hawks55c94.88$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1941449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Hawks55c94.88$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1951647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Hawks47c94.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5410945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Knicks69c93.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0811651.7%60 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Hawks46c89.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.358948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hawks55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6545445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Knicks55c85.49$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.324755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Knicks46c85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.931345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Knicks59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8931151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Hawks54c82.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Hawks45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3622942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Hawks23c76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Hawks21c71.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.912449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x902e…5f41backed Hawks47c68.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.279853.1%52 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hawks55c68.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Hawks55c68.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4612752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Hawks47c64.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4923051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.