TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under53c29,686$15,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,952.3466248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c24,362$11,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,252.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50059646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x996a…e3ccbacked Over50c12,017$6,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,008.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick33cpaid+117.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over44c11,238$4,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,944.5548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under48c6,985$3,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,632.6317055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over45c6,502$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.634134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c6,230$3,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Under50c5,695$2,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.665947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under50c5,075$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.357852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c4,789$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.944,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over45c4,051$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.94,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under54c3,532$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.521,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under54c3,532$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.5258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under54c3,477$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.841,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Over45c2,364$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.718448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under53c1,980$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…3e5dbacked Over50c1,958$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under53c1,809$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.9429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under69c1,728$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.51,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c1,717$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.331,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c1,699$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.7270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over45c1,411$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.7776249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under54c1,401$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c1,275$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.676,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over48c970.74$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.9518444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under55c807.81$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.511,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Under50c806.26$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.1310252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under48c780.36$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.798348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over50c748.42$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.2112646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under56c726.31$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.5719745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over43c703.02$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.962,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under48c680.74$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.998948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over47c618$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.4612752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c555.6$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.421,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under50c520.44$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.6342352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over11c490.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5918835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under57c474.76$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Over45c466.35$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.862454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c456.36$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.911,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Over44c410.72$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7216039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e2…a6b1backed Over52c388.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.011553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c1c…3143backed Under49c387.76$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.761464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over33c383.52$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.241,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a8…2dedbacked Under56c383.11$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.933743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over45c340$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1347436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under53c306.97$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over12c299.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9826336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over47c297.46$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.161,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over47c270.13$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.921,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over46c257$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1220240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over45c255.32$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.241,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over8c243.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3210718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over48c228.48$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.62,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c222.76$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac94…e414backed Over45c216.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.243234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2e2…13ffbacked Over45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.71127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa76d…6a8ebacked Over47c209.75$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.23956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under59c208.24$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4141449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over52c204.25$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.218850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c197.78$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9735052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over50c193.03$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5234247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a89…76ecbacked Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.121464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1880…a421backed Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.121650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.821347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Under57c172.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.095964.4%38 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under52c169.35$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4153348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over48c162.86$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over45c150.57$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7667248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Over51c142.74$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.84057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c140.82$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2342853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over46c124$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over51c122.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7317740.1%71 W · 106 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80b2…8561backed Over45c118.19$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under52c115.16$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.761,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3824backed Over52c112.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2715149.7%75 W · 76 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under72c111.24$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0395049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over69c110.38$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.571,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over48c106.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.666746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over50c104.34$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.153,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over52c98.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.471,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over48c98.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4735546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.536852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under47c96.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3161638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over54c89.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1955751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under53c80.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under53c79.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.291,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under50c77.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7732450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over45c75.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.021,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under52c74.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.657051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over25c72.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Over16c63.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.187047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x898f…e9f2backed Over46c63.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.037354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.