TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,228 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ad5…37b9backed Hawks5c9,790$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.514438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Hawks56c3,863$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.3414556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hawks41c3,008$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.722,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks44c2,931$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.36,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Knicks44c2,700$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.9458740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks61c2,423$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.972,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks48c2,291$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.813,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks37c1,880$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.811,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Hawks56c1,826$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.2821957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Hawks56c1,735$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.676058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Hawks59c1,720$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.911,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Knicks44c1,676$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.6913551.1%69 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks44c1,264$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks44c1,237$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.534,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Hawks56c1,043$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.1628554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Hawks6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6046255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks55c745.07$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.112,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Hawks55c599.97$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks34c561.45$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks45c543.58$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.972,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Hawks5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hawks61c480.24$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.111,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Knicks45c451.27$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.221950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc820…5366backed Hawks55c387.25$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ab…7376backed Knicks46c385.1$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65eb…e197backed Knicks55c369.41$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.233342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Hawks13c366.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.397316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Knicks22c366.17$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.721,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks48c362.46$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.415,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Hawks56c349.25$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5876250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Hawks56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Hawks56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7228949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2c…c700backed Hawks56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Knicks45c334.61$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.038948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc861…f0fabacked Hawks6c333.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hawks54c314.49$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.481,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe006…25a1backed Hawks55c300.75$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.41837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Knicks59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12317748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Knicks51c299.95$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9827745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Knicks49c294.78$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3411759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Knicks55c273$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks45c264.04$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.353,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Hawks46c260.02$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4426336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Hawks61c257.65$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6e…94edbacked Hawks7c257$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Knicks55c252.08$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4313253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.242,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Knicks44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14093543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Hawks51c248.28$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.624032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Knicks44c237.17$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Knicks50c232.73$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.855,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Hawks24c225$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5434255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks45c217.31$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.631,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d95…2342backed Knicks45c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.197250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Knicks47c209$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3440440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks45c201.96$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.081,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hawks58c198.75$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.661,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks44c198.18$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.983,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Knicks49c183.34$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.36848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks47c182.5$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.31,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x431c…12ecbacked Hawks56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.363046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Hawks56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3638152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Knicks58c164$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1213837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Hawks51c152.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.657051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Hawks51c142.32$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2134953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hawks57c136.73$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9481845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d9…c5a6backed Knicks45c135.14$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Hawks53c133.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4529849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Hawks53c130.72$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2935052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Hawks53c129.53$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Hawks51c127.34$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9414852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Hawks51c122.88$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2642352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hawks52c122.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Knicks59c122$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2680440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Hawks56c121.7$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1527549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hawks52c121.27$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9259250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Knicks37c121$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0341449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Knicks37c121$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked Hawks51c119.6$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.382867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Hawks55c114.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.259854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Hawks51c112.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4619550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hawks52c110.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.461,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Hawks52c110.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4661151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Hawks52c110.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4658953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Knicks56c109$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7923649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Hawks65c107.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1822170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Knicks36c106.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.211,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Knicks53c105.77$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3314449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Knicks44c105$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.895260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Knicks45c103.38$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.348544.7%38 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Knicks48c101.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.528846.6%41 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hawks48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4445445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Knicks49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4518552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Knicks60c98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5916640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Hawks56c97.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.523256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks39c96.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.133,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7d…3f24backed Knicks78c94.88$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.871681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Hawks52c94.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5432450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Knicks58c92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7631238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Knicks44c88.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5221350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.