NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5a506fc08b829041e7d860e4c67d87dc202d49c08883ffded55b6173b9f6fbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 50c | 57,096$28,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,632.69 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 29,617$14,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,805.83 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7854backed Over | 52c | 20,156$10,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,460.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 19,998$10,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,201.95 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 18,516$9,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,258 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Over | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 12,725$6,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,394.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 11,433$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,654.27 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over | 34c | 10,104$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Under | 49c | 8,323$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.63 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…5bb2backed Under | 49c | 8,205$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 49c | 7,880$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 5,902$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Under | 51c | 5,131$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.19 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 4,911$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.21 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Over | 51c | 3,806$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.2 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Over | 33c | 3,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.92 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 51c | 2,925$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.41 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…df0fbacked Under | 47c | 2,907$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 2,827$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.3 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 50c | 2,722$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.3 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Over | 50c | 2,580$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.1 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,537$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fd…b5afbacked Under | 50c | 2,444$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 2,103$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.47 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 51c | 2,098$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.94 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 48c | 2,063$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.89 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…f4d1backed Over | 70c | 1,985$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 49c | 1,970$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.21 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.2 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 48c | 1,825$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.24 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 52c | 1,787$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.23 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 1,734$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.53 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 49c | 1,710$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.11 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 41c | 1,603$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.86 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Over | 50c | 1,556$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.94 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 50c | 1,498$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.11 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 2c | 1,215$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 49c | 1,200$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Over | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.99 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 25c | 1,135$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.6 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 49c | 1,013$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.64 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Over | 50c | 970.79$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.39 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 67c | 944.22$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.64 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 51c | 862.83$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.67 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…24efbacked Over | 51c | 838.22$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.07 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under | 49c | 799.97$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Over | 51c | 797.32$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 34c | 775.28$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.43 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 706.73$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 52c | 679.84$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.52 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…bac1backed Under | 49c | 668.69$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.03 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Over | 33c | 604.02$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 49c | 590.96$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.62 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 9c | 566.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…a36dbacked Over | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 49c | 554.98$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.94 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 50c | 452.02$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 52c | 443.76$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.78 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…306abacked Over | 52c | 420.23$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.52 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 49c | 402.3$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.17 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 52c | 373.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 63c | 363.42$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.95 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 54c | 334.98$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.04 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 7c | 331.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 59c | 330.56$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 53c | 330.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.48 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 51c | 316.46$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.07 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 49c | 311.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.38 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 66c | 303.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.21 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a48…e094backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +146.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 287.08$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.43 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 51c | 280.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.63 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 42c | 280.54$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…e786backed Over | 51c | 252.86$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Over | 31c | 240.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…501cbacked Over | 52c | 205.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.83 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 199.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 52c | 196.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 51c | 196.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 51c | 195.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Under | 50c | 194.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Under | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Over | 51c | 194.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Under | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…6ba0backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 50c | 180.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Over | 35c | 170.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5this page
- CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. HawksKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.