TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,161,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,166,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,161,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under52c359,430$188,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171,393.4887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe934…640bbacked Under52c332,398$171,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160,668.263860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over47c211,349$100,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,126.7666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over48c157,504$75,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,601.9226253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over48c150,000$72,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,499.8924650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under52c145,875$76,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,419.8820545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c52,861$25,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,566.749,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over48c50,793$24,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,380.491,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c31,170$15,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,044.213,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c27,715$13,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,025.971,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c22,113$11,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,056.271,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c16,729$8,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,185.662,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c14,070$6,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,876.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over49c13,963$6,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,837.8390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Over48c13,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2408839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c11,857$6,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,696.581,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c11,268$5,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,302.672,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over47c10,897$5,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,153.161,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9615952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under51c9,983$5,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,891.6166250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over48c9,979$4,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,789.7571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over49c9,844$4,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.6995651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c9,483$4,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,644.591,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over47c9,325$4,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,382.5770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over49c8,894$4,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,354.4258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over48c8,569$4,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,113.181,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over48c8,000$3,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,82043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Over49c7,523$3,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,723.654214.3%6 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c7,434$3,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,623.354,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.9816249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…ae6dbacked Under52c5,756$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c5,435$2,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,608.741,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over47c5,108$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,388.241,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Under53c4,151$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.5712257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over50c4,105$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.487963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over49c4,090$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0011,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over47c4,088$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.2641649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over49c3,926$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.7737755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c3,908$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.292,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c3,289$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.761,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over48c3,265$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.312,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under54c3,223$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.451,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over48c2,720$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.614640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c2,649$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.832,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over47c2,556$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Over50c2,537$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.777150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under52c2,269$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.9622948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over13c2,098$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.291,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Over50c2,035$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.741850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c2,019$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.815,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9605446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under50c1,827$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.530446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under54c1,495$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.5212548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Over48c1,448$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.0118648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under53c1,439$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.421,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Over49c1,416$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.352437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+57%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over49c1,278$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.5229849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Over47c1,206$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.9918151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over49c1,200$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.0268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over2c1,111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5631222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55056043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over47c1,087$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.0225155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over49c1,038$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.3571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e9…2732backed Over47c1,030$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,027$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.7550754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6090…06e0backed Over48c1,010$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.721471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Over50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48510745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c968.96$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.373,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over19c887.67$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5310239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over62c862.87$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.9817651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over49c852$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.544551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Under52c847.93$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.0117247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over47c824$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.286046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over49c794.91$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.51,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd63…cf21backed Over63c762.68$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.491952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Over52c650.32$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.934940.8%20 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under57c648.29$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.6812752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Under54c540.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.55964.4%38 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over49c530$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.733945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under52c525.25$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.1292058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over51c522.42$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.991,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over12c520.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5618835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6265…0d9fbacked Over59c496.11$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.628155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over47c491.75$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1239448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6425657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0e…b7bcbacked Over48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…ae53backed Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…f596backed Over49c393.7$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb74…1d50backed Over49c391$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19091050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over49c380.62$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.831,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d61…27e3backed Over49c352.86$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.940%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over48c348.1$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under66c346.34$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.0434953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over20c341.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9126336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Over48c330.32$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8911855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.