Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dabf5b2d560d6a7d4868d862cfcf26c9ba7d37906ccb1ccf63eb114a573647e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Sinnerof Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,103,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,917,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,103,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36a3…fafbbacked Jannik Sinner | 53c | 2,093,685$1,114,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978,723.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 863,951$405,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405,853.72 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Jannik Sinner | 51c | 690,713$350,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340,360.55 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 579,631$275,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275,053.68 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 251,187$117,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,581.69 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Carlos Alcaraz | 48c | 185,004$88,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,801.71 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Jannik Sinner | 52c | 181,097$93,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,335.65 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Carlos Alcaraz | 46c | 167,677$77,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,194.36 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carlos Alcaraz | 38c | 123,942$47,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,106.4 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 100,857$47,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,648.67 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 100,504$47,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,692.94 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 70,061$32,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,691.07 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 70,000$32,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,699.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 56,008$26,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,308.84 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Jannik Sinner | 52c | 52,301$27,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,104.47 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 36c | 49,457$17,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,603.24 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Jannik Sinner | 51c | 46,667$23,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,866.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 42,387$19,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,794.79 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 38,587$18,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,036.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Jannik Sinner | 50c | 37,646$18,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,913.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 35,878$16,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,774.97 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Carlos Alcaraz | 48c | 34,877$16,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,740.86 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Carlos Alcaraz | 48c | 32,506$15,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,498.4 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Jannik Sinner | 52c | 32,500$16,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…2a10backed Jannik Sinner | 55c | 32,130$17,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,345.61 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 30,900$14,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,523 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Jannik Sinner | 52c | 28,182$14,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,516.41 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…bf7dbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 55c | 27,851$15,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,318.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Carlos Alcaraz | 14c | 25,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.93 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Carlos Alcaraz | 37c | 24,119$9,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,016.48 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 32c | 23,025$7,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,386.71 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Carlos Alcaraz | 28c | 22,927$6,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,351.99 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…b67fbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 48c | 20,800$9,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,983.98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 46c | 20,097$9,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,244.46 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 20,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.92 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…cfc9backed Carlos Alcaraz | 0c | 19,741$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Jannik Sinner | 51c | 19,600$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,604 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6ac7backed Jannik Sinner | 52c | 18,677$9,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,964.92 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 17,387$8,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,102.82 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Jannik Sinner | 78c | 15,410$12,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.01 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Jannik Sinner | 54c | 15,072$8,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,933.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Carlos Alcaraz | 24c | 14,630$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Jannik Sinner | 74c | 14,427$10,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.63 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked Carlos Alcaraz | 38c | 13,945$5,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,251.56 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…dee2backed Carlos Alcaraz | 49c | 13,156$6,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,446.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +107%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Jannik Sinner | 53c | 12,621$6,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,931.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Carlos Alcaraz | 50c | 12,425$6,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,201.28 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Jannik Sinner | 54c | 12,368$6,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.92 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 49c | 12,283$5,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,968.34 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Carlos Alcaraz | 49c | 11,855$5,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,805.89 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Carlos Alcaraz | 28c | 11,718$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Carlos Alcaraz | 46c | 10,994$5,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,087.72 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Jannik Sinner | 55c | 10,628$5,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790.12 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 10,300$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 48c | 10,244$4,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.56 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Jannik Sinner | 53c | 10,209$5,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.14 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed Carlos Alcaraz | 23c | 10,005$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Jannik Sinner | 56c | 10,001$5,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.5 | 156 | 65.4%102 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Jannik Sinner | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.98 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.97 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Jannik Sinner | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.97 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Carlos Alcaraz | 49c | 9,830$4,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,815.61 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Carlos Alcaraz | 48c | 9,688$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.24 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d23…dd2bbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 9,647$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Jannik Sinner | 51c | 9,617$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,703.39 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…a607backed Carlos Alcaraz | 0c | 9,429$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Jannik Sinner | 53c | 9,307$4,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,374.45 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Carlos Alcaraz | 56c | 9,027$5,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,018.91 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Jannik Sinner | 68c | 8,829$6,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.76 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Carlos Alcaraz | 37c | 8,765$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,212.11 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Carlos Alcaraz | 50c | 8,697$4,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366.8 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Carlos Alcaraz | 23c | 8,417$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.01 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Carlos Alcaraz | 48c | 8,133$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.86 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…ce7abacked Carlos Alcaraz | 36c | 7,901$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.82 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…c370backed Carlos Alcaraz | 42c | 7,671$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 43c | 7,570$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.29 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Jannik Sinner | 47c | 7,260$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,814.11 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Carlos Alcaraz | 27c | 7,255$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.23 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…45f7backed Carlos Alcaraz | 34c | 7,170$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Carlos Alcaraz | 42c | 7,034$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.73 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Carlos Alcaraz | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2904…ec3fbacked Jannik Sinner | 51c | 6,796$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…7fc6backed Jannik Sinner | 47c | 6,654$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Carlos Alcaraz | 1c | 6,624$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Carlos Alcaraz | 35c | 6,616$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.56 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Carlos Alcaraz | 36c | 5,927$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.66 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Jannik Sinner | 47c | 5,921$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Carlos Alcaraz | 38c | 5,910$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.77 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…4bf1backed Carlos Alcaraz | 50c | 5,820$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Jannik Sinner | 67c | 5,719$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Carlos Alcaraz | 38c | 5,697$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Carlos Alcaraz | 52c | 5,632$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.46 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Carlos Alcaraz | 48c | 5,403$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.32 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Carlos Alcaraz | 26c | 5,211$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.07 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Carlos Alcaraz | 48c | 5,174$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.07 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 5,053$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.93 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed Carlos Alcaraz | 47c | 5,000$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.32 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Jannik Sinner | 47c | 4,908$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.89 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerthis page
- Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs SinnerSinner won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Sinner (+1.5)Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.