Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21b67f88b849a0db751a59d362d2b9abfe636a247b26630cf79f96f589fa87cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 32c | 1,866$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.14 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 1,445$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.03 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…dff2backed Under | 30c | 1,118$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 19c | 264.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Under | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 58c | 241.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 224.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 67c | 191$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 32c | 123.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 68c | 117.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 17c | 116.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 16c | 105.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…ebf8backed Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 63c | 67.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Under | 19c | 65.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 68c | 41.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Over | 67c | 31.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…7095backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Over | 71c | 19.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 67c | 15.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.