Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20216b08b77946fb1d50def390923c069d939e4bbb2d52a70bd78dfe554d6bb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qingdao Xihaian FCof Shandong Taishan FC, Qingdao Xihaian FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.01 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 42c | 1,071$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 41c | 424.84$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.13 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Shandong Taishan FC | 25c | 400.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Shandong Taishan FC | 20c | 312.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 79c | 250.66$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 39c | 203.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shandong Taishan FC | 41c | 189.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 59c | 133.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 42c | 120.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 59c | 115.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 71c | 87.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shandong Taishan FC | 32c | 80.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shandong Taishan FC | 41c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 58c | 43.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shandong Taishan FC | 28c | 41.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shandong Taishan FC | 41c | 31.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Shandong Taishan FC | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 57c | 22.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 59c | 21.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 58c | 17.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.