South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF América vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x584b94812a45962e3d0c4bf271debc35b95aa486566bed6f96128e24de0b9055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 6,141$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,179.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 63c | 3,877$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 19c | 2,274$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.44 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Yes | 47c | 2,047$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 51c | 1,873$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.76 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 1,793$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked No | 39c | 1,677$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 60c | 1,457$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.86 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…81ecbacked No | 67c | 1,308$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 1,121$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.64 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 59c | 1,116$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.13 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…3841backed No | 18c | 999.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +456%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 62c | 948.18$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.1 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Yes | 44c | 869.08$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 43c | 866.6$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.78 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 28c | 769.35$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.62 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Yes | 68c | 585.52$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 67c | 525.73$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.93 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 28c | 499.56$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.66 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 384.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.58 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…abeabacked Yes | 65c | 327.64$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…47a1backed Yes | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 31c | 304.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Yes | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 20c | 190.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 31c | 187.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 32c | 166.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed No | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 23c | 148.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 35c | 136.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Yes | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 35c | 120.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 116.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec3…4db1backed Yes | 37c | 103.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 22c | 101.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 98.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…2623backed No | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +137%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed No | 22c | 78.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3b…913dbacked No | 19c | 67.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +415.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…aa0fbacked Yes | 23c | 67.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…84d3backed Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 56c | 59.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 22c | 59.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 30c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 22c | 51.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 70c | 49.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 29c | 49.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 48.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…4761backed No | 34c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 28c | 47.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +203.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes | 44c | 45.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed No | 49c | 44.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 57c | 44.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…f0bbbacked Yes | 43c | 42.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…553cbacked No | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 80c | 39.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 34c | 37.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed No | 51c | 36.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 57c | 32.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 79c | 30.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…6aa7backed No | 57c | 29.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 34c | 29.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…4f52backed No | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 40c | 26.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…7095backed Yes | 59c | 26.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 50c | 25.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd7…758bbacked Yes | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 67c | 20.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e9…6743backed No | 58c | 18.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked No | 77c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 74c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF América vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will CF América win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.