TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda6b…2623

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shymkent 2: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
Saint-Malo: Chloe Paquet vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Huzhou: Polona Hercog vs Xinyu Gaobacked Xinyu Gao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Maxim Mrvabacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.85
Mauthausen: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sandro Koppbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$10.07
Saint-Malo: Moyuka Uchijima vs Ksenia Efremovabacked Moyuka Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$5.81
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$5.97
Shymkent 2: Oleg Prihodko vs Alexandr Bindabacked Alexandr Binda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51%+$10.03
Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweenybacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$10.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.81
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.29
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$10.3
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$11.13
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+137%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. NC Dinosbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$52.95
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-37%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$8.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Sassuolo Calcio leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.