MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74adf9250c97a68c7713cef15e855e0b10680eab26edd480df9ecac82ae7e35a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof Kia Tigers, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 1,294$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.41 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 54c | 1,090$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 793.48$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.35 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 599.89$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.94 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 45c | 586.83$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 499.41$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.36 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked NC Dinos | 45c | 429.76$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.37 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Kia Tigers | 44c | 296.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 47c | 289.42$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed NC Dinos | 46c | 249.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 45c | 242.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed NC Dinos | 45c | 232.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 45c | 231.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed NC Dinos | 45c | 214.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed NC Dinos | 47c | 195.89$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NC Dinos | 46c | 192.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kia Tigers | 45c | 188.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 187.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed NC Dinos | 46c | 168.91$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 141.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed NC Dinos | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked NC Dinos | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked NC Dinos | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed NC Dinos | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…2623backed NC Dinos | 45c | 96.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NC Dinos | 46c | 95.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 95.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked NC Dinos | 46c | 94.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 87.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kia Tigers | 47c | 81.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked NC Dinos | 41c | 56.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NC Dinos | 45c | 55.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 55.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked NC Dinos | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed NC Dinos | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed NC Dinos | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 39.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked NC Dinos | 44c | 36.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 406 | 50.2%204 W · 202 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed NC Dinos | 50c | 35.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 360 | 50.3%181 W · 179 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d04…d219backed NC Dinos | 46c | 34.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 28.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…a99fbacked NC Dinos | 46c | 28.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 27.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.