CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c3b32fcb548aa456c38af4e4243c4a7bcf323c5e817eac22f170a93a75a7f19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof ASTRAL, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Lavked | 53c | 9,889$5,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658.78 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ASTRAL | 49c | 4,510$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.9 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Lavked | 51c | 4,491$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.8 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed ASTRAL | 46c | 3,938$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.46 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lavked | 70c | 2,821$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.86 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 46c | 2,585$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.22 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Lavked | 54c | 2,317$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.31 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked ASTRAL | 47c | 1,857$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.9 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ASTRAL | 49c | 1,650$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked ASTRAL | 49c | 1,647$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.85 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed ASTRAL | 21c | 1,301$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.6 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed ASTRAL | 50c | 1,210$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…163cbacked ASTRAL | 26c | 949.47$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Lavked | 51c | 856.07$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.47 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 46c | 442.75$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.28 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Lavked | 51c | 420.66$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 32c | 392.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Lavked | 47c | 377.36$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked ASTRAL | 26c | 370.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed ASTRAL | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed ASTRAL | 44c | 338.81$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed ASTRAL | 59c | 328.61$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.13 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed ASTRAL | 35c | 276.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ASTRAL | 24c | 271.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…8ba5backed Lavked | 48c | 270.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed ASTRAL | 17c | 259.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Lavked | 48c | 258.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.58 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked ASTRAL | 71c | 239.95$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.29 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -20.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL | 24c | 223.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…57c7backed ASTRAL | 16c | 211.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…1151backed Lavked | 51c | 198$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ff…36fbbacked Lavked | 51c | 190.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ad…cc87backed ASTRAL | 52c | 188.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ASTRAL | 48c | 173.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…52a5backed Lavked | 38c | 166.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…b0f5backed ASTRAL | 49c | 151$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Lavked | 57c | 150$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lavked | 49c | 149.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed ASTRAL | 49c | 141.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked ASTRAL | 27c | 140.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed ASTRAL | 12c | 136.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Lavked | 54c | 135.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ASTRAL | 44c | 131.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f5…663dbacked ASTRAL | 49c | 127$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed ASTRAL | 59c | 110.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…99dabacked Lavked | 57c | 108.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Lavked | 54c | 108.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ASTRAL | 55c | 106.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed ASTRAL | 52c | 104.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ff29backed ASTRAL | 29c | 104.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed ASTRAL | 43c | 103.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed ASTRAL | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed ASTRAL | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Lavked | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Lavked | 56c | 90.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed ASTRAL | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Lavked | 48c | 87.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lavked | 78c | 84.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…4307backed ASTRAL | 52c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffdc…ce87backed ASTRAL | 24c | 76.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Lavked | 63c | 70.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Lavked | 63c | 69.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ASTRAL | 42c | 67.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…2623backed ASTRAL | 26c | 66.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked ASTRAL | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…ce17backed ASTRAL | 49c | 63.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…fb35backed ASTRAL | 50c | 63.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed ASTRAL | 43c | 60.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lavked | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…66a8backed ASTRAL | 52c | 59.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked ASTRAL | 43c | 56.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…c82fbacked ASTRAL | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…4bb0backed ASTRAL | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…8318backed ASTRAL | 22c | 47.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lavked | 47c | 45.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4898…a723backed ASTRAL | 31c | 45.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…db09backed ASTRAL | 75c | 42.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Lavked | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked ASTRAL | 53c | 39.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ASTRAL | 55c | 36.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…51dcbacked Lavked | 68c | 36.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Lavked | 49c | 32.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed ASTRAL | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked ASTRAL | 46c | 29.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Lavked | 72c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91bb…ae27backed Lavked | 75c | 28.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d8…a180backed Lavked | 50c | 28.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed ASTRAL | 43c | 27.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked ASTRAL | 50c | 27.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Lavked | 56c | 26.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed ASTRAL | 53c | 23.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Lavked | 55c | 21.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Lavked | 68c | 20.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Lavked | 80c | 20.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…560bbacked Lavked | 74c | 19.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
- Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5)Lavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.