CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2b42be21ac0f5aa3296a5232c630a59a772827a55dd6f3d5da0750b85162c5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof ASTRAL, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed ASTRAL | 37c | 2,049$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.84 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 64c | 997.55$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lavked | 62c | 806.63$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.89 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Lavked | 66c | 772.65$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.78 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed ASTRAL | 35c | 712.06$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.22 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…0f23backed Lavked | 74c | 668.31$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.22 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 50c | 629.93$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Lavked | 54c | 626.32$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.08 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Lavked | 54c | 597.95$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.7 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Lavked | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 55c | 393.16$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.29 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ASTRAL | 48c | 313.7$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00b…949bbacked ASTRAL | 69c | 274.72$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed ASTRAL | 43c | 164$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed ASTRAL | 18c | 161.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed ASTRAL | 36c | 159.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ASTRAL | 45c | 154.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Lavked | 65c | 150.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Lavked | 57c | 128.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…e805backed ASTRAL | 26c | 116.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 63c | 101.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lavked | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…b7b1backed Lavked | 69c | 87.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lavked | 49c | 73.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…2e59backed Lavked | 70c | 73.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed ASTRAL | 44c | 67.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Lavked | 68c | 66.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…9df8backed ASTRAL | 27c | 53.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed ASTRAL | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed ASTRAL | 30c | 39.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked ASTRAL | 45c | 38.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed ASTRAL | 45c | 37.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed ASTRAL | 45c | 37.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed ASTRAL | 46c | 37.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed ASTRAL | 46c | 36.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…d68fbacked Lavked | 57c | 32.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ASTRAL | 34c | 32.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 65c | 32.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Lavked | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fec…500dbacked Lavked | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9cbdbacked Lavked | 68c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…a2e0backed Lavked | 67c | 28.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Lavked | 60c | 27.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…84abbacked ASTRAL | 47c | 22.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Lavked | 58c | 21.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Lavked | 60c | 21.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Lavked | 62c | 18.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group DLavked won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5)Lavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.