Asian League · resolved market
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x868f382eeb84488e6c26bc1fd21325d03193ebf7e381db65c6e7fc7f4eb66dd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 24c | 4,955$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 4,801$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.39 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 3,916$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 24c | 2,974$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…162fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,132$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 955.42$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 664.5$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.41 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 80c | 424.97$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 16c | 300.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 18c | 299$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 78c | 256.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 20c | 174.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked No | 80c | 131.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 105.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 71.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 64.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 60.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 29c | 51.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…2623backed Yes | 34c | 37.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 71c | 20.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.