Asian League · resolved market
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdd9c7ad646a31046be2aeb5b0f21854eceb2fe1d467c56d158122e2faa9d8a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 39c | 2,696$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.39 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Yes | 24c | 1,826$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 1,714$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.23 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 1,645$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.82 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 38c | 1,120$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.59 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ea…cfb2backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 762.17$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.83 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 623.69$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 38c | 343.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 41c | 299$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 10c | 264.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.36 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 27c | 201.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed No | 61c | 161.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 7c | 148.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.77 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 140.73$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 117.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 77c | 109.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 17c | 105.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 102.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9fc3backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked No | 21c | 65.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 31c | 57.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 26c | 51.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 40c | 50.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x020e…69c1backed Yes | 27c | 40.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Yes | 40c | 36.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 63c | 29.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…64dabacked No | 60c | 26.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.