Tennis · resolved market
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Maxim Mrva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4607b8cf3ecbed3691404d0b982f31d592fb28f0fea9f46648996542dec98215
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdoof Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, Maxim Mrva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maxim Mrva | 34c | 8,562$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.69 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 49c | 2,943$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.39 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 42c | 2,808$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.56 | 204 | 59.3%121 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 50c | 1,524$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.13 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 70c | 1,425$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.55 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Maxim Mrva | 66c | 1,111$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.85 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2642…bfc4backed Maxim Mrva | 17c | 998.26$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maxim Mrva | 45c | 890.94$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.43 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 46c | 634.79$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 65c | 598.24$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.45 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec20backed Maxim Mrva | 48c | 504.84$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.26 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Maxim Mrva | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 46c | 409.15$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.94 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maxim Mrva | 58c | 407.08$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.05 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Maxim Mrva | 19c | 285.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 73c | 248.18$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Maxim Mrva | 39c | 236.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 42c | 201.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 47c | 201.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maxim Mrva | 41c | 183.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 29c | 174$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Maxim Mrva | 51c | 172.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Maxim Mrva | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 46c | 159.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Maxim Mrva | 53c | 146.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 30c | 142.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 51c | 137.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Maxim Mrva | 27c | 106.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 46c | 94.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Maxim Mrva | 57c | 94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 30c | 87.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Maxim Mrva | 57c | 75.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -8.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…8636backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…d0e7backed Maxim Mrva | 57c | 71.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 46c | 65.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Maxim Mrva | 54c | 64.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Maxim Mrva | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Maxim Mrva | 69c | 59.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -13.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Maxim Mrva | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…2623backed Maxim Mrva | 48c | 57.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maxim Mrva | 52c | 57.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Maxim Mrva | 52c | 56.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 45c | 56.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Maxim Mrva | 55c | 54.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…8373backed Maxim Mrva | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Maxim Mrva | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Maxim Mrva | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 28c | 48.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 35c | 48.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Maxim Mrva | 54c | 47.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 73c | 45.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…a16abacked Maxim Mrva | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 37c | 45.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 130 | 33.8%44 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Maxim Mrva | 54c | 43.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Maxim Mrva | 52c | 41.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Maxim Mrva | 40c | 36.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 46c | 35.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 37c | 29.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Maxim Mrva | 46c | 29.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 69c | 27.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 46c | 27.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Maxim Mrva | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 75c | 24.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Maxim Mrva | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 45c | 23.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 65c | 21.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 306 | 72.9%223 W · 83 L | +27.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Maxim Mrva | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…ca98backed Maxim Mrva | 57c | 18.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.