South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-04-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f26ae7d79ffd9cf9c6f7e47bab8f0376349853017e8c11e1ffb53c414be1813
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 1,804$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 63c | 1,586$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.64 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 940.74$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 65c | 714$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.1 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 18c | 686.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed Yes | 64c | 650.7$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.66 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 62c | 633.4$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.38 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 22c | 547.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 38c | 534.8$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.45 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 27c | 482.01$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 35c | 382.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.33 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Yes | 59c | 369.61$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.89 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 56c | 301.15$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…da37backed Yes | 72c | 276.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 34c | 250.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…26a9backed Yes | 39c | 244.56$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 15c | 233.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 44c | 215.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5692backed Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 64c | 156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked Yes | 74c | 140$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ab90backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked No | 41c | 138.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 115.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 38c | 114.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 113.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 43c | 104.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed No | 63c | 93.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 24c | 79.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 57c | 63.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 24c | 60.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…bb9abacked Yes | 67c | 50.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 79c | 47.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Yes | 66c | 45.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked Yes | 58c | 39.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…2623backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +137%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…01debacked Yes | 71c | 34.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f5c5backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…975ebacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Yes | 60c | 25.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c27…567abacked Yes | 60c | 20.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Yes | 60c | 19.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…a7fdbacked Yes | 60c | 18.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Cristal win on 2026-04-28?this page
- Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-04-28?No won
- Will CS Cristal vs. CDP Junior FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.