South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-04-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x570870ef01a664caebc4345294c0ac3d797493ae07e78b045607e6b75d508803
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 3,159$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.96 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 33c | 2,482$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.57 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed Yes | 1c | 1,369$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Yes | 11c | 1,047$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e8…38b0backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Yes | 10c | 999.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 712.12$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.66 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…a6c0backed Yes | 5c | 550$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed Yes | 11c | 443.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 11c | 426.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf004…9911backed Yes | 11c | 285.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 11c | 278$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed No | 67c | 238.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 33c | 221.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 33c | 127.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 33c | 102$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 67c | 84.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed No | 68c | 82.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 52.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 34c | 43.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed No | 67c | 42.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 66c | 34.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 34c | 31.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…25e3backed Yes | 35c | 28.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 68c | 21.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 67c | 19.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 16.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-04-28?this page
- Will CS Cristal vs. CDP Junior FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CS Cristal win on 2026-04-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.