TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf795…ab90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT9740.2%39 W · 58 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Aidan Mayo vs Roger Pascualbacked Roger Pascual · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Alexander Blockx vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$34.54
Set Handicap: Assche (-1.5) vs Gaston (+1.5)backed Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Alexander Bublik vs. Quentin Halys: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roman Andres Burruchaga vs. Alexander Blockx: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$100.55
Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gastonbacked Tiago Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tomas Etcheverry vs. Ignacio Buse: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.83
Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Generali Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$88.15
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.6
Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.16
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)backed Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.35
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)backed Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5)backed Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$75.88
Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)backed Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Rafael Jodar vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jodar vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$183.01
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.29
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.64
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.5
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.96
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$195.2
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.72
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$155.19
All 18 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+180.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-43.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.01
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.