Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Assche (-1.5) vs Gaston (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8d654ca41f7e8919371b46643039d1bcee167f47456fad2da41506dbe86d1ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Asscheof Assche, Gaston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Gaston | 66c | 3,038$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Assche | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Assche | 34c | 795.19$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.83 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Assche | 34c | 599.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.21 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Gaston | 10c | 494.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gaston | 45c | 338.54$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Assche | 35c | 325$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.25 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Assche | 56c | 262.18$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Gaston | 52c | 166.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Assche | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Assche | 35c | 143$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad1…8151backed Assche | 39c | 121$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Assche | 34c | 91.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Assche | 35c | 66.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Assche | 35c | 58.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Assche | 54c | 52.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ab90backed Assche | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dee…e053backed Gaston | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Gaston | 65c | 30.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 278 | 53.2%148 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Assche | 48c | 24.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Assche (-1.5) vs Gaston (+1.5)this page
- Assche vs. Gaston: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Assche vs. Gaston: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo GastonLuca Van Assche won
- Luca Van Assche vs. Hugo Gaston: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Assche vs GastonAssche won
- Set 2 Winner: Assche vs GastonAssche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.