Tennis · resolved market
Assche vs. Gaston: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4975ddb1b4c9fdf5d51afaa30cdbfef71d3edca8078a270eee2330ffbd02d60f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 22c | 989.25$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.89 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…2858backed Over | 57c | 893.5$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 44c | 643.15$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.94 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 43c | 599.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.47 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 578.29$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.48 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 70c | 374$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.34 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 70c | 315$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.28 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 43c | 257.91$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Over | 52c | 215.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 47c | 204.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 58c | 163.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 57c | 156.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…07c3backed Over | 52c | 151.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 57c | 126.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Over | 54c | 119.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 57c | 118.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 111.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 97.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed Over | 52c | 96.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 57c | 82.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed Over | 16c | 82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 74.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Over | 56c | 68.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 50c | 65.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Under | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 37c | 63.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 59c | 53.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…535dbacked Over | 56c | 50.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Under | 54c | 50.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 42c | 41.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 39.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 46c | 36.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8648…a92fbacked Over | 57c | 32.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…2b32backed Under | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 57c | 28.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…2ce1backed Over | 57c | 25.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a2ebbacked Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Over | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Assche vs. Gaston: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Assche vs. Gaston: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo GastonLuca Van Assche won
- Luca Van Assche vs. Hugo Gaston: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Assche vs GastonAssche won
- Set 2 Winner: Assche vs GastonAssche won
- Set Handicap: Assche (-1.5) vs Gaston (+1.5)Assche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.