South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Juventud win on 2026-05-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff198b16fbfa22aca25ba338cc50fda1983c6cdff2a5b23b682dfd2381445d42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 14c | 9,329$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.28 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 4,200$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,999$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 8c | 1,309$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,264$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…655fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,152$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 863$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.34 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 15c | 230$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Yes | 7c | 214.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 20c | 201.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 13c | 192.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ab90backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 12c | 124.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Juventud win on 2026-05-27?this page
- Will CS Cienciano vs. CA Juventud end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-05-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.