TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-05-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,283
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,186

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,283 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes62c16,139$10,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,002.37950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed No38c6,666$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,132.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick29cpaid+89.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes63c2,631$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.211,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79bd…5c31backed No38c2,630$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c1,667$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.398,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes63c1,646$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.971,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No38c1,600$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99224855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked No20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.033046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No38c1,478$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.596350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No38c1,200$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74417055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No38c1,200$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74413059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No39c1,191$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.332,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No22c1,138$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.7348922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No38c1,105$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.124254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No38c1,011$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62733745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes62c844.43$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.812,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed No38c765.79$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.791573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+44.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No38c700$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43416558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed No38c668.42$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+123.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes51c646.28$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.753,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No37c628$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.6413545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37224053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No71c591.27$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9921640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes63c566.58$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.711,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes63c547.66$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.742250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No68c521.68$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7213748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed No20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004231%13 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No38c460.5$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.5113049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes74c443.71$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.211,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24826749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24828851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24823056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked No37c337.84$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8410039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked No38c305.39$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.343850%19 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1864850%24 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18624956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1864452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1864254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18618358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No38c295$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.93243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No38c273.5$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.51,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No38c260$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.216559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No38c260$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.215857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes39c234$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.267034.3%24 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No77c225.01$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2437540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No23c190.72$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1110819.4%21 W · 87 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No69c176.29$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3341145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No75c172.46$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2636339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes73c169.76$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.525,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No24c165.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7694848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes61c163.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No38c160$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.221358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes63c159.6$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.553,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No38c156$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7221657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No38c156$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7220360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06b0…4871backed No40c151.33$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+84.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes63c149.54$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes75c142.22$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.811,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No38c140$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.822058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No67c134.14$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6225044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…5715backed No40c132$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.861040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Yes80c125.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes63c125$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1370055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No37c119.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.594841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd36…8a0bbacked No75c105.97$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6224257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6215560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6218959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed No35c84.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.721361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick35cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No38c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.615359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb96…bdf0backed Yes61c76.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7670%0 W · 7 L-4.0wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa23b…6d59backed Yes66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No38c74.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.495855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a0c…10e6backed Yes61c73.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.021060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No40c69.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.962,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked No72c67.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9310767.3%72 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No38c65.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.341,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No41c64.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.171,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed No39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.118140.3%73 W · 108 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes64c62.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.641654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes67c57.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.71,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes66c51.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3412439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.518631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.510847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes25c47.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.619740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53a8…ae0dbacked Yes64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes65c46.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305455.6%30 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012348%59 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed No38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.86046.7%28 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.813465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x856e…438abacked No38c38.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x831d…3893backed No38c38.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed No38c38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.562748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No79c37.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7512958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d5b…acdcbacked Yes61c37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.