South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Cienciano vs. CA Juventud end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x438f27633a92032474272ef132bb7d2a6a40f59cff8968edeefd40152862fdf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,764$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 2c | 1,486$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 77c | 1,077$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.29 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 23c | 999$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.23 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…9430backed Yes | 70c | 368.57$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 71c | 330.18$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 26c | 288.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 70c | 210.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 175.08$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.64 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 68c | 160.1$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 67c | 140.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 50c | 132.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 44c | 126.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 116$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 106$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Yes | 62c | 93.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 35c | 91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 77c | 89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…cb7cbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 78.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 25c | 64.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 23c | 58.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 69c | 58.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 35c | 55.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…ca05backed Yes | 79c | 46.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 46.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 78c | 40.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 37.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 63c | 31.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 67c | 28.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 78c | 27.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…77dbbacked Yes | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 77c | 14.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 77c | 13.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Cienciano vs. CA Juventud end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Juventud win on 2026-05-27?No won
- Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-05-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.