Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61fcf195a9cfd3b017d5c1e420459ffaefdd685a941ad47248316d050b3325a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Kostyuk, Svitolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Svitolina | 70c | 1,275$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.89 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Kostyuk | 32c | 992.94$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.67 | 134 | 27.6%37 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kostyuk | 30c | 871.63$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.49 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Svitolina | 67c | 610.31$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Svitolina | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Svitolina | 45c | 422.22$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.22 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kostyuk | 53c | 417.43$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.47 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Kostyuk | 43c | 341.64$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Kostyuk | 34c | 290.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Kostyuk | 31c | 260.63$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…8613backed Svitolina | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Svitolina | 65c | 199.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Svitolina | 68c | 195.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Svitolina | 68c | 180$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Kostyuk | 32c | 178.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Svitolina | 69c | 162.61$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Kostyuk | 31c | 152.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ab90backed Kostyuk | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Svitolina | 66c | 143.56$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Svitolina | 66c | 130$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Kostyuk | 32c | 129.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Kostyuk | 33c | 106.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Kostyuk | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Svitolina | 67c | 78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Kostyuk | 33c | 78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Kostyuk | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Svitolina | 53c | 43.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…90a5backed Kostyuk | 67c | 38.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Svitolina | 31c | 33.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Svitolina | 42c | 31.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Svitolina | 63c | 28.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Svitolina | 42c | 28.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Svitolina | 69c | 27.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc94…a3b6backed Kostyuk | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…8eb3backed Svitolina | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fe…4a05backed Svitolina | 69c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Svitolina | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Svitolina | 67c | 17.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)this page
- Elina Svitolina vs. Marta Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta KostyukMarta Kostyuk won
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs KostyukKostyuk won
- Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.