Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Kostyuk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fa388856656875a0745ab68449cf367d61c5e785127fd215b63764304652e8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kostyukof Svitolina, Kostyuk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Svitolina | 49c | 2,395$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.68 | 258 | 52.7%136 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Kostyuk | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 197 | 25.9%51 W · 146 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kostyuk | 51c | 962.98$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.33 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…fdd4backed Svitolina | 27c | 659.81$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kostyuk | 76c | 510$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Svitolina | 49c | 506.62$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.53 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Svitolina | 22c | 447.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 155 | 32.9%51 W · 104 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Svitolina | 33c | 433.95$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Kostyuk | 51c | 429.91$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.66 | 464 | 39.7%184 W · 280 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kostyuk | 51c | 388.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Svitolina | 30c | 355$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Kostyuk | 73c | 326.27$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 643 | 46.2%297 W · 346 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kostyuk | 69c | 303.2$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kostyuk | 61c | 225.23$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Svitolina | 47c | 219.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 426 | 43.9%187 W · 239 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…b3c7backed Svitolina | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -8.0wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Kostyuk | 67c | 161.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kostyuk | 51c | 153$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Kostyuk | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kostyuk | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Kostyuk | 50c | 91.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 365 | 35.1%128 W · 237 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kostyuk | 73c | 89.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kostyuk | 75c | 82.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Svitolina | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kostyuk | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Kostyuk | 52c | 45.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kostyuk | 71c | 43.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Svitolina | 49c | 42.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Svitolina | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 716 | 21.1%151 W · 565 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Kostyuk | 51c | 21.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…9800backed Kostyuk | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Kostyukthis page
- Elina Svitolina vs. Marta Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta KostyukMarta Kostyuk won
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)Svitolina won
- Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.