Tennis · resolved market
Elina Svitolina vs. Marta Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e0b3563da2321f3779d7a369aef7de188e50105012bbc5e0f9c3f32752f107e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 825.56$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.82 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…b3c7backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -8.0wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under 2.5 | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…8613backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…9dbabacked Over 2.5 | 44c | 219.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 177.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 155.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 130.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under 2.5 | 57c | 107.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…aff0backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Over 2.5 | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Under 2.5 | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…8948backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 38.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…6958backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under 2.5 | 53c | 29.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 27.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elina Svitolina vs. Marta Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta KostyukMarta Kostyuk won
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs KostyukKostyuk won
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)Svitolina won
- Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.