Tennis · resolved market
Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7078eacf46a48b754604f0d6107dffd04a8a8bdeacd92c78b9bb6a83fef77158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 7,622$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.74 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 56c | 5,364$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.83 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Over | 56c | 1,834$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.27 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 1,238$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.84 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Over | 54c | 900.18$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.18 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 56c | 716.45$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.45 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 46c | 509.23$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.74 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 349.17$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 54c | 271$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b43…0f61backed Under | 49c | 258$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 46c | 217.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Over | 54c | 184.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Over | 54c | 181.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 141.23$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 46c | 139.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Under | 45c | 136.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 134.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 125.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 44c | 112$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 582 | 53.3%310 W · 272 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 56c | 105.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 44c | 101.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 828 | 47.3%392 W · 436 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Over | 54c | 92.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 86.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 45c | 84.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 504 | 45.8%231 W · 273 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Over | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 55c | 78.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Under | 57c | 77.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 64.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 48c | 54.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 56c | 53.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Over | 50c | 49.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Over | 54c | 44.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 54c | 37.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Over | 55c | 34.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 474 | 31.9%151 W · 323 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…71afbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 56c | 19.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Elina Svitolina vs. Marta Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta KostyukMarta Kostyuk won
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs KostyukKostyuk won
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)Svitolina won
- Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.