TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e77…303f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT15856.3%89 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 158 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Madison Keys be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$19.91
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+179.6%+$26.94
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Parks (-1.5) vs Sawangkaew (+1.5)backed Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jaime Fariabacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Zakharova (+1.5)backed Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Fokina vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Marozsan (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)backed Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Set Handicap: Damm (-1.5) vs Trungelliti (+1.5)backed Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$11.72
Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Gill (+2.5)backed Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+137.5%+$13.75
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Cristian (+1.5)backed Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Zverev vs. Hanfmann: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Itobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$9.77
Nottingham Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nottingham Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Boulter vs. Vekic: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Alexander Bublik vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Showing 25 of 158 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Saudi Arabia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mitch Ramirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Wang Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Loma Lookboonmee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177%+$70.8
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+147%+$29.39
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Cam Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.