TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof Texas Rangers, New York Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$401,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$415,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked New York Yankees54c104,195$56,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,929.7750153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Texas Rangers46c97,320$44,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,69431149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Texas Rangers40c17,880$7,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,133.362,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees55c13,303$7,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,986.341,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed New York Yankees53c12,624$6,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,933.2892054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Texas Rangers0c11,490$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9733515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked New York Yankees58c10,653$6,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,525.6248850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Texas Rangers47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70060451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Texas Rangers47c9,824$4,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,617.1838148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees55c9,684$5,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,366.934,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees65c6,692$4,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.7210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Texas Rangers45c6,674$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.2214340.6%58 W · 85 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers46c6,159$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.555,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Texas Rangers46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30055052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked New York Yankees58c4,690$2,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.881,14142.9%490 W · 651 L-37.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd849…6d37backed New York Yankees29c4,059$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.9742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed New York Yankees54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84020350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers11c3,779$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.766,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed New York Yankees54c3,358$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.0628944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Texas Rangers45c3,131$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Texas Rangers47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees65c2,481$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.562,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers45c2,477$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.531,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers44c2,395$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.138,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Texas Rangers49c2,365$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1509354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees50c2,304$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.831,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Texas Rangers0c2,300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.68762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed Texas Rangers27c2,253$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.577548%36 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf590…382dbacked Texas Rangers45c2,200$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Yankees51c2,183$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.541,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed New York Yankees55c2,077$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.6561947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed New York Yankees63c1,998$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.4225240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers25c1,921$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.0312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Texas Rangers59c1,900$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1211,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed New York Yankees54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8529449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed New York Yankees55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1826245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees46c1,683$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.638,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Rangers39c1,593$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.111,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Texas Rangers26c1,589$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.161,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Texas Rangers55c1,439$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.9954048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed New York Yankees65c1,421$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.399431.9%30 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers46c1,400$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.96,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Texas Rangers9c1,392$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.531,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Texas Rangers64c1,282$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.71,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees67c1,138$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.1911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked New York Yankees54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.1114156%79 W · 62 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked New York Yankees53c1,100$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.871,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees69c1,076$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.142,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Texas Rangers46c1,071$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.031,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees53c1,042$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.092,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked New York Yankees64c1,022$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.181,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Texas Rangers45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45021538.6%83 W · 132 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Texas Rangers46c903.37$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.557343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers47c857.05$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.151,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d6f…be20backed New York Yankees59c843.76$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.3523454.7%128 W · 106 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Texas Rangers46c804.96$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.281,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees58c801$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.655,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed New York Yankees52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38421842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Texas Rangers36c733.33$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8516848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Texas Rangers46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32226948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed New York Yankees29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.6614134%48 W · 93 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Texas Rangers45c689.37$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.237348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Texas Rangers21c654.91$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5899744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked New York Yankees54c626.6$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.67851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Texas Rangers46c599.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9970744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked New York Yankees48c587.51$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.7628952.6%152 W · 137 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed New York Yankees54c543$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7840645.1%183 W · 223 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Texas Rangers45c533.33$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Texas Rangers67c500$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.2526857.8%155 W · 113 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked New York Yankees67c499.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16517768.9%122 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers33c492.69$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.216,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked New York Yankees33c455$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.8555847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas Rangers46c435.97$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.551,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Texas Rangers47c427$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.697644.7%34 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Texas Rangers48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20043153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked New York Yankees53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18860350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked New York Yankees53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18839850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Texas Rangers47c400$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cd…9740backed Texas Rangers46c399.95$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.981450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked New York Yankees54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3747545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Texas Rangers25c365.73$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8650337.2%187 W · 316 L-42.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Texas Rangers54c363.37$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.621,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Texas Rangers47c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.53,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed Texas Rangers46c350$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.463644.7%284 W · 352 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Texas Rangers44c348.17$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1961352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Texas Rangers57c327.86$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.592,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Texas Rangers47c320$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.81,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Texas Rangers65c314.53$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7244556.9%253 W · 192 L+27.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Texas Rangers44c309.84$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.841,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed New York Yankees54c307.48$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4850647%238 W · 268 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Texas Rangers46c307$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2244643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3797…8be6backed Texas Rangers5c305.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.942755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f3…4fcfbacked New York Yankees55c305.45$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4517954.2%97 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Texas Rangers66c304.68$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.072,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed New York Yankees53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14134648.6%168 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Texas Rangers47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14159150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Texas Rangers71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2134656.5%26 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Texas Rangers52c290.4$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020443.1%88 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Texas Rangers69c290$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.373,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Texas Rangers47c280$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.21,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.