MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7ea0331b8ca9e0dc3a8ad585fbfe27d696fe3d860de87a26511b9b8d906d7ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 40c | 2,373$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 2,220$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 1,481$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 1,399$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed New York Yankees | 37c | 1,002$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.8 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 842.82$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.4 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed New York Yankees | 36c | 638.38$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.8 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers | 74c | 500$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.25 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 481.14$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.12 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 470.67$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.44 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed New York Yankees | 41c | 410$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.7 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 27c | 394$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 293.02$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.42 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed New York Yankees | 36c | 240.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.69 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 240$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed New York Yankees | 33c | 229$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.98 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked New York Yankees | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed New York Yankees | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 132$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 130$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees | 41c | 127.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 36c | 122.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 120.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 120.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked New York Yankees | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Rangers | 73c | 101$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed New York Yankees | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed New York Yankees | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed New York Yankees | 60c | 98.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed New York Yankees | 49c | 94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked New York Yankees | 18c | 85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked New York Yankees | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked New York Yankees | 36c | 69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 67.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed New York Yankees | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 59.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Yankees | 44c | 57.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Texas Rangers | 67c | 55.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked New York Yankees | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees | 36c | 49.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…9ce7backed New York Yankees | 38c | 46.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees | 36c | 44.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 44.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed New York Yankees | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…3d67backed New York Yankees | 37c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…a199backed New York Yankees | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked New York Yankees | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed New York Yankees | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 37.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 36.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 34.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 31.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 27.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 17.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…7483backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Texas Rangers | 65c | 15.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Texas Rangers vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.