TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9267…0f9abacked Under46c5,638$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.955053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Over55c5,400$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,43016947.9%81 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over54c4,889$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.0524651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c3,715$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.1911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under52c3,577$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.9414340.6%58 W · 85 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c3,423$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.774,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over54c2,545$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.6827254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,552$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.115,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over52c1,495$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.155053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under49c1,468$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.852,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over56c921.94$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.521,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under46c901.9$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.6365549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under45c833$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.856355.6%35 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under25c630$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0299744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under46c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25322548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under45c527.32$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.181,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over75c486.95$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c411$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over56c401.38$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.348,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under46c391.53$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.128154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Over55c364.56$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.051450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over53c361.42$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.011,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15047545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over67c284.1$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.818,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c254.37$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.641,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under47c249.63$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.321,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Under51c243.58$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2326751.7%138 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under24c231$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.442,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under19c231$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.896,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under41c218.8$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.591,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under19c215.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.952,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under47c200.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.418648.4%90 W · 96 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9859150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10086653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8237256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c180.7$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.551,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5738252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Over55c176.38$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3710249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over76c171$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.043,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f08…d224backed Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Under50c149.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over53c126.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4554152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under19c108$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.525,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over62c100.73$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.131,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4678454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8deb…1ef3backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.82544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.58,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under29c92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.681,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb97…7ae1backed Under45c90.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.948534.1%29 W · 56 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under21c84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3255847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under44c78.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8523248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa89…ccd2backed Under50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3919154.5%104 W · 87 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Over53c76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.725738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under45c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3827248.5%132 W · 140 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Under50c73.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8984140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under51c72.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.422350.7%113 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over75c70.76$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9542241%173 W · 249 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Under44c70.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.982231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Under45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Under37c65.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.156851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305450%27 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Under47c55.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.816346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4cb…a917backed Over56c53.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3420751.2%106 W · 101 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over54c51.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3782551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.555953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over54c49.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9861948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under45c47.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.743,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Under45c40.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4210036%36 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.472648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c39.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9329752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33b3…e861backed Under51c29.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under45c29.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2125249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Over53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1617250.6%87 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Under46c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4218751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over58c26.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.132,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Over59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4213641.9%57 W · 79 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.537444.4%166 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d79…1aabbacked Over52c24.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.681752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under51c23.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8567453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over66c22.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.551,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under46c21.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0122849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over77c21.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.91,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over74c20.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.434,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7701…6ea2backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017051.8%88 W · 82 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.