MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77ad982e5182b6ab52b289903803c4bf972ce1489cd13ea91137f7f823bde438
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 46c | 5,638$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.9 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Over | 55c | 5,400$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 54c | 4,889$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.05 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 3,715$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.19 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 52c | 3,577$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.94 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 3,423$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 54c | 2,545$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.68 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,552$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.11 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 1,495$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.1 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 1,468$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.85 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 921.94$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.52 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 46c | 901.9$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.63 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under | 45c | 833$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.85 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 25c | 630$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.02 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 45c | 527.32$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.18 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 75c | 486.95$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.63 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 411$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 401.38$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.34 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 46c | 391.53$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.1 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 55c | 364.56$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 53c | 361.42$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.01 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 67c | 284.1$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 254.37$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 47c | 249.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Under | 51c | 243.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 24c | 231$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 19c | 231$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 41c | 218.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 19c | 215.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 47c | 200.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 180.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Over | 55c | 176.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 76c | 171$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…d224backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 50c | 149.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 53c | 126.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 19c | 108$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 62c | 100.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…1ef3backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 29c | 92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Under | 45c | 90.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 21c | 84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 44c | 78.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Over | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 45c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Under | 50c | 73.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 51c | 72.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 75c | 70.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 44c | 70.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Under | 37c | 65.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Under | 47c | 55.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Over | 56c | 53.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 54c | 51.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 54c | 49.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 47.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Under | 45c | 40.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…e861backed Under | 51c | 29.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 45c | 29.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 58c | 26.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…1aabbacked Over | 52c | 24.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 51c | 23.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 66c | 22.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 46c | 21.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 77c | 21.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 74c | 20.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Texas Rangers vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.