Tennis · resolved market
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7176d7c77a17352d38f8fafed3ad6ca133af989a7fd264e43b46773a270dbba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacob Fearnleyof Darwin Blanch, Jacob Fearnley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Darwin Blanch | 1c | 13,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Darwin Blanch | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Darwin Blanch | 3c | 3,386$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…884bbacked Darwin Blanch | 16c | 2,500$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.62 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Jacob Fearnley | 78c | 1,888$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.89 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Darwin Blanch | 28c | 1,802$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.34 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Jacob Fearnley | 52c | 1,738$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.81 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Darwin Blanch | 43c | 1,408$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.52 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jacob Fearnley | 71c | 838.61$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.12 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Darwin Blanch | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jacob Fearnley | 79c | 773.97$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.61 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…6e68backed Darwin Blanch | 4c | 711.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +299.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Darwin Blanch | 13c | 700.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Darwin Blanch | 15c | 696.62$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Darwin Blanch | 47c | 631.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7e…3b66backed Darwin Blanch | 18c | 625.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Darwin Blanch | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jacob Fearnley | 75c | 579.35$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…aa42backed Darwin Blanch | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Darwin Blanch | 17c | 497.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Darwin Blanch | 12c | 360.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Darwin Blanch | 20c | 350.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…3a00backed Darwin Blanch | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Jacob Fearnley | 59c | 338.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Jacob Fearnley | 56c | 257.24$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.19 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Darwin Blanch | 21c | 241.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jacob Fearnley | 57c | 215.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Jacob Fearnley | 58c | 212.67$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Jacob Fearnley | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7741…23e6backed Jacob Fearnley | 58c | 172.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Darwin Blanch | 41c | 170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Darwin Blanch | 41c | 168.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Darwin Blanch | 42c | 166.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 156.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jacob Fearnley | 77c | 137.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Jacob Fearnley | 79c | 137.04$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Darwin Blanch | 24c | 136.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Darwin Blanch | 15c | 132.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 199 | 26.6%53 W · 146 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd357…c7a0backed Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 132.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Jacob Fearnley | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Jacob Fearnley | 57c | 119.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Darwin Blanch | 43c | 117.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Darwin Blanch | 36c | 114.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1c…0eaabacked Darwin Blanch | 14c | 109$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…fc07backed Darwin Blanch | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…8f26backed Jacob Fearnley | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 74cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Darwin Blanch | 33c | 94.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78de…86bebacked Jacob Fearnley | 70c | 90.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Darwin Blanch | 43c | 86.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Darwin Blanch | 36c | 83.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Jacob Fearnley | 66c | 80.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Darwin Blanch | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Jacob Fearnley | 59c | 78.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2554…bb52backed Darwin Blanch | 35c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Darwin Blanch | 26c | 75.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Darwin Blanch | 26c | 70.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Darwin Blanch | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Jacob Fearnley | 57c | 44.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Jacob Fearnley | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Jacob Fearnley | 59c | 38.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dee…5d00backed Jacob Fearnley | 80c | 37.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Jacob Fearnley | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…c35abacked Jacob Fearnley | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Darwin Blanch | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 29.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Jacob Fearnley | 74c | 29.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 70c | 27.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Jacob Fearnley | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 478 | 57.9%277 W · 201 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Darwin Blanch | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092a…8577backed Jacob Fearnley | 64c | 23.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Darwin Blanch | 44c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Jacob Fearnley | 71c | 21.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Jacob Fearnley | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 283 | 43.8%124 W · 159 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Jacob Fearnley | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Jacob Fearnley | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Jacob Fearnley | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jacob Fearnley | 66c | 17.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.