TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3c06…aa42

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Asuncion 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Nick Hardtbacked Bruno Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$357.16
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaurbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$819
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Gironbacked Daniel Evans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyerbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaurbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuelbacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+167%+$357.37
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Set Handicap: Jones (-1.5) vs Romano (+1.5)backed Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.15
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5)backed Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$404.59
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaardbacked Thijs Boogaard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Set Handicap: Mannarino (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)backed Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$392.86
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$181.03
Togo vs. Benin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$329.62
Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$493.16
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$63.07
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$880.74
Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$428.92
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Benin vs. Niger: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+139.4%+$1,394.15
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$238.6
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$226.2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$122.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+64%+$319.84
Joventut vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.72
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+180.1%+$270.22
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$160.32
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$733.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nice win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Feverbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.