TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,091 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No57c10,776$6,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,123.731,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c9,667$3,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,805.833,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes54c9,159$4,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,218.752,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c4,882$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.384,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes26c3,185$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.1930431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes34c2,941$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.185749.1%28 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No75c2,483$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.8612036.7%44 W · 76 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed No35c2,071$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.7933843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes41c1,846$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.4893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No6c1,830$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4630117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes75c1,733$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.337846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No55c1,260$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.3522226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes70c1,172$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.871,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes25c1,136$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.613,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c1,100$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.2676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked No2c1,088$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5634731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked No28c999$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.052650%13 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No75c890.96$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.671,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c795.03$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.793,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c789.33$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.563,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes32c772.25$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.5918543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7a…70b6backed No28c700$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+82.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked No20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+83.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes26c578.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.4610331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Yes24c567.01$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.9311745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No22c526.89$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4345039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes57c500$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21421166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c496.6$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.012,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes26c483.24$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.2411631.9%37 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No33c454$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8213552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes56c421$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Yes60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.678447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c386.97$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.361,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc820…9e00backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.621533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes70c322.81$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.722,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No77c314.11$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4251429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8db0…5b69backed No8c277.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.147346.6%34 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes77c260$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.856022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes76c249.54$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.974967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes78c244.96$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2385550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes22c237.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3241968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No58c231$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9119939.7%79 W · 120 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes25c229$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7518435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15051429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes11c197.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3725865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Yes52c192.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.693740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0348…3d81backed No21c184.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.831330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No57c155.09$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7115445.5%70 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes20c143.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.161,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes74c142.84$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.042,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No75c135$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.256966.7%46 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Yes78c130$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.68949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No36c125.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0287651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Yes25c125.12$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8416937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No71c120.32$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8890840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1928…1171backed Yes74c119.66$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.111485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick75cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes12c116.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8942952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes65c113.9$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.354,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1143246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1416…670cbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.113141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed No21c107$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.471020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed No66c99.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.995347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9918038.3%69 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ce…e232backed Yes55c91.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.152250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Yes41c90.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2410762.6%67 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No51c88.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9945947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4a…8a46backed Yes40c87.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.512448.4%60 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No74c80$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8885…7712backed Yes47c79.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.39728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c79$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.153,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No54c78.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed No42c67.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3611450.9%58 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No74c66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.841,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No75c63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2581554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked No62c56.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2336543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No47c54.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9444435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No74c52.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6157541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6abb…8f63backed Yes52c52.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.781464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c48.46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.861,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked No68c48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6458530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes25c48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3636045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes80c46.53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.312,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffd…2af5backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013032.3%42 W · 88 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No71c39.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0551859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9456…af0cbacked Yes77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.966264.5%40 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Yes58c34.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.23672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3327767.9%188 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5885…87d2backed Yes78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.052259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No40c30.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0827538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked No62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.612252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea67…ceebbacked Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.412770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc367…85e2backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.995242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No69c26.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1345472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked No62c26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1224257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb556…b5e5backed No50c25.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.797236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes48c25.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.948328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.