TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea67…ceeb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Asian League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$12.69
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$20.65
Germany vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$30.42
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+90%+$25.92
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.3
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.76
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+127.9%+$14.07
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.56
Will Belarus vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.95
Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Ethiopia vs. Malawi end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.28
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+39%+$22.62
Will Qatar vs. El Salvador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.98
Will Azerbaijan vs. Malta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Slovakia vs. Montenegro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$24.53
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.95
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.93
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Kamen: Louis Wessels vs Leonid Sheyngezikhtbacked Leonid Sheyngezikht · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+151.1%+$24.93
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$31.68
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.84
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$19.32
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.