TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Belarus vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,719 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf699…07e1backed Yes4c11,534$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,072.8810366%68 W · 35 L+12.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+54.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes16c4,092$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,429.874,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes47c2,948$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.377846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes14c1,922$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.661,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes33c1,455$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.8593542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No1c1,250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.519069.5%132 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes38c1,249$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.916547.7%31 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes27c987.5$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.312036.7%44 W · 76 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No44c593.53$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.122,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No21c453.88$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.472,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes6c416.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.3619356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6710945%49 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked No13c404.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.64623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Yes4c375.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7212156.2%68 W · 53 L+19.7wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Yes4c375.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7213158.8%77 W · 54 L+26.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+82.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Yes4c375.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7210761.7%66 W · 41 L+20.4wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes11c360.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.9932656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes14c357.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.7126047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes19c355.26$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.7636543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes18c305.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.141,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Yes23c291.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.714264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes16c286.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.184,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Yes32c282.6$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1716937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes30c261.79$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.241,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No68c212.87$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.491,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes14c192$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1233443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2551429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes27c137.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3343246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No68c121.21$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.211,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes15c120.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.962,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No15c120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes60c113$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.384654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes16c103$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.732,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018038.3%69 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes30c96.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.623,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No70c76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.23,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes27c74.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.521947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes42c71.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.219140.7%37 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.946445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No74c59.07$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5537644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb482…e138backed Yes31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.396440.6%26 W · 38 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb556…b5e5backed No60c39.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.527236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No70c34.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0665651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.430751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No68c28.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.132,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6719856.1%111 W · 87 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea67…ceebbacked Yes80c24.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.952770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No59c21.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f96backed Yes53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.444374.4%32 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed No66c19.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9618943.4%82 W · 107 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.