Fifa International · resolved market
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2340fa159af03dd1edd53a1ad7342795e3e54739f5561a7ab4a840e356465052
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $548,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $661,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $548,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 587 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 70c | 34,590$24,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked No | 36c | 26,402$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 74c | 23,900$17,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,181.99 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed No | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.89 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 36c | 19,773$7,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,212.09 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed No | 2c | 15,261$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.25 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 32c | 14,918$4,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.48 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 30c | 13,125$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.96 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed No | 33c | 12,339$4,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.51 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked No | 33c | 11,733$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854.47 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 32c | 9,952$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.07 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 39c | 9,383$3,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703.27 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 67c | 7,514$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.62 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 30c | 7,434$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.85 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 32c | 6,956$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.49 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes | 67c | 6,836$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.88 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 69c | 6,613$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.92 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 67c | 6,000$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 66c | 5,375$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.29 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Yes | 75c | 5,360$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.44 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 32c | 5,156$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 34c | 4,944$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.83 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 16c | 4,536$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.04 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Yes | 70c | 4,214$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 4,204$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.02 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.85 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 66c | 3,771$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.24 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 3,748$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.32 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 33c | 3,614$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.23 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…fccdbacked No | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 32c | 3,251$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.16 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 18c | 3,216$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.83 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 37c | 3,033$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.85 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.96 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed No | 31c | 2,871$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Yes | 68c | 2,756$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.78 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +284.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 2,704$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.94 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,674$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.6 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 67c | 2,659$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.5 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Yes | 56c | 2,541$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.91 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79bd…5c31backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 74c | 2,498$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.25 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…9761backed Yes | 69c | 2,389$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 12c | 2,353$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 66c | 2,253$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.91 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 62c | 2,239$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.44 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 67c | 2,221$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.3 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 2,108$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 66c | 2,100$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.98 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Yes | 69c | 2,012$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.42 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 31c | 2,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 39c | 1,945$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.61 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 34c | 1,900$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.96 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,894$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.53 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 59c | 1,876$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.52 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 31c | 1,870$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.69 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 67c | 1,792$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.34 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Yes | 62c | 1,719$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.64 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 13c | 1,638$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…f649backed Yes | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 34c | 1,600$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.95 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 63c | 1,520$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.74 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Yes | 61c | 1,519$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 66c | 1,457$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.4 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 17c | 1,455$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.62 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 67c | 1,445$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.91 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 37c | 1,434$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.7 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…f105backed Yes | 70c | 1,427$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.14 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 35c | 1,369$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.28 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…a929backed No | 30c | 1,357$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 30c | 1,341$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.44 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,303$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.9 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 44c | 1,245$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 1,150$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.94 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 34c | 1,137$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.14 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 70c | 1,108$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.26 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb778…6492backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…514cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 65c | 997.8$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.82 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Yes | 61c | 991.1$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.1 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 67c | 924.18$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.98 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 67c | 901.37$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed No | 31c | 900$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02ca…30f9backed Yes | 69c | 871.31$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 36c | 848.44$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.24 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 17c | 831.24$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.31 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…32c0backed No | 31c | 823.55$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 32c | 789.28$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.68 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Yes | 61c | 763$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.57 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 58c | 741.38$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.38 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 31c | 735.48$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 37c | 731.54$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.61 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 69c | 726.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.83 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Yes | 65c | 709$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 34c | 700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 30c | 656$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 67c | 648.61$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.96 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?this page
- Will Luxembourg vs. Italy end in a draw?No won
- Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.