Fifa International · resolved market
Will Luxembourg vs. Italy end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a386bb1626aff3cd4f614b5eb4bcb617e509c8a20e816a5d8c14f63bb4d7511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 19c | 3,717$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.43 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 19c | 3,314$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.66 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 3,113$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.63 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 21c | 2,303$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.63 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 1,915$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.96 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 73c | 1,900$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.6 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 15c | 1,545$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.78 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 18c | 1,335$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.23 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 21c | 1,258$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.42 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 6c | 1,206$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 18c | 1,057$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.52 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 1,003$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.59 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 19c | 760.13$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 10c | 643$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 16c | 576.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 27c | 525$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 77c | 504.98$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.46 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 20c | 488.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef3e…9e72backed Yes | 22c | 461.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 20c | 425.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 14c | 375.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Yes | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 19c | 312.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 20c | 302.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 79c | 284.14$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 26c | 264$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 575 | 41.7%240 W · 335 L | -20.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 78c | 256.73$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 250.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 20c | 235.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes | 20c | 229.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 18c | 217$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70a…29c8backed Yes | 27c | 216.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Yes | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 21c | 194$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 8c | 169$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 166.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Yes | 14c | 157.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 20c | 138.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…c75abacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 11c | 104.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 22c | 103.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 102$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…fcabbacked Yes | 11c | 91.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 80c | 89.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 26c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 464 | 45.5%211 W · 253 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 20c | 83.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…77dbbacked Yes | 21c | 77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 21c | 72.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 80c | 72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Yes | 16c | 69.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…6b23backed Yes | 21c | 68.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…db25backed Yes | 22c | 66.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 26c | 65.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 220 | 26.4%58 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 61.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 79c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Yes | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 21c | 57.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5014…538ebacked Yes | 20c | 54.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 20c | 53.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a6…8080backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…f271backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb092…534bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 22c | 49.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea4…8636backed No | 80c | 46.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 73c | 40.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 275 | 38.5%106 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…0234backed No | 79c | 40.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…1297backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…9cdabacked No | 79c | 22.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebe…5b16backed No | 80c | 22.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 72c | 21.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 72c | 21.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 78c | 21.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…34d0backed No | 68c | 20.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…5583backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 77c | 15.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 78c | 15.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Luxembourg vs. Italy end in a draw?this page
- Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?Yes won
- Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.