Fifa International · resolved market
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x692b96d00b6a96d7411c537261e75ff07e73be066a308fd283903d07ba95c1bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb90…4f2bbacked Yes | 2c | 9,027$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 7,635$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.26 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 12c | 7,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 13c | 4,072$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.91 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…e5e9backed Yes | 13c | 3,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +41%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 14c | 3,474$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.33 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 13c | 3,441$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.23 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 13c | 3,016$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.95 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 13c | 2,787$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.74 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 3c | 2,688$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 13c | 2,651$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.4 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,382$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.83 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 12c | 1,584$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.22 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 13c | 1,444$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.64 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,207$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 9c | 1,099$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 13c | 1,066$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…fcabbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 8c | 717.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 7c | 646$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 16c | 618.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 13c | 523$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 12c | 499.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 10c | 496.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…3d7fbacked Yes | 13c | 491.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Yes | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 4c | 450$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 257 | 19.1%49 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 435$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3e…9e72backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 9c | 389.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 13c | 388.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…b8dcbacked Yes | 13c | 374.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed Yes | 13c | 310$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 13c | 307.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 12c | 302.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 12c | 208.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…185cbacked Yes | 13c | 207.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…7e10backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 12c | 189.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 12c | 178$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 13c | 176.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…824abacked Yes | 12c | 176.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…c39fbacked Yes | 12c | 158$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 26.4%58 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…ec5bbacked Yes | 12c | 141.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…269bbacked Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf1…fa85backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…9cdabacked Yes | 13c | 84.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…2889backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 13c | 79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a44…fa40backed Yes | 14c | 76.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-03?this page
- Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?Yes won
- Will Luxembourg vs. Italy end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.