Fifa International · resolved market
France leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fb27a5a58c0a4314ccf1ae73926f9bd60bdafb378a4ff6c2d3299a97e1f282b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $720,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $811,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $720,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 75c | 175,080$130,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,222.54 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 25c | 51,128$12,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,581.88 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 42,524$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.43 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 25c | 39,825$9,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,824.99 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 26c | 38,146$9,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,919.55 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 75c | 33,269$24,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,412.73 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 22,664$5,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,803.25 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 76c | 21,000$15,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.98 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…de22backed No | 27c | 20,271$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,450 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed No | 25c | 19,500$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.95 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 72c | 14,424$10,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084.67 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 74c | 13,842$10,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 75c | 12,806$9,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.53 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 74c | 12,198$9,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.13 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 3c | 11,668$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.44 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 8c | 10,794$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.97 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 24c | 10,551$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.72 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 72c | 10,500$7,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.98 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 74c | 10,482$7,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.38 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed No | 1c | 10,305$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 25c | 10,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 26c | 9,354$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.77 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 77c | 8,189$6,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.47 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked No | 24c | 7,487$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.12 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Yes | 75c | 7,392$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.04 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 25c | 6,484$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.11 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 3c | 6,249$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 1c | 5,905$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes | 76c | 5,867$4,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.42 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 25c | 5,303$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.83 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…76d3backed No | 24c | 5,188$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.19 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 24c | 4,768$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.4 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…5ad0backed Yes | 75c | 3,772$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.93 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 4c | 3,455$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 27c | 3,277$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.36 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed No | 25c | 3,276$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.51 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 71c | 3,083$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.45 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 25c | 3,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 4c | 2,608$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 27c | 2,416$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.34 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 23c | 2,129$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.75 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 25c | 2,043$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.73 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 3c | 1,999$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 26c | 1,830$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.24 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked No | 25c | 1,597$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…58adbacked Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…eb35backed Yes | 74c | 1,339$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.19 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 24c | 1,175$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 23c | 1,153$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.17 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde12…70bfbacked Yes | 75c | 1,133$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 68c | 1,132$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.35 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 26c | 1,120$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.46 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 25c | 1,056$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 4c | 1,032$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,013$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.46 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f1…474cbacked Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 74c | 999.98$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 26c | 999.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked No | 25c | 967.69$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 4c | 958.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 25c | 888$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 75c | 877.6$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.68 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…40fabacked Yes | 75c | 869.33$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 73c | 845.94$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.4 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 24c | 845.04$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.22 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 26c | 843.55$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.63 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 4c | 833.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 25c | 821.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 74c | 807.43$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.43 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed No | 25c | 799.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…8cffbacked Yes | 76c | 776.32$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed No | 12c | 770.06$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…8360backed Yes | 75c | 765.21$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…92fbbacked Yes | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…d306backed Yes | 74c | 730.16$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.84 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…745cbacked No | 27c | 700$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 214 | 33.2%71 W · 143 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…efb2backed Yes | 75c | 666.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…7714backed Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 32c | 661.15$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.96 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 76c | 658.99$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.77 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 29c | 625.94$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.16 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Yes | 73c | 611.9$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.21 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 18c | 593.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed No | 26c | 584.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 10c | 573.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France leading at halftime?this page
- France vs. Iraq: Draw at halftime?No won
- Iraq leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.