Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf49b42cf85cc671c464495132482ec4f65655f0eee3ca7eb7f3005752c121c34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 23,136$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.8 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 4c | 13,578$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.61 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 10,403$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.33 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,086$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 4c | 4,129$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 4c | 3,129$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.02 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Yes | 4c | 3,104$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.16 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 4c | 2,416$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 1,945$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 4c | 1,607$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,596$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 4c | 1,285$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…d8d5backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,138$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 4c | 1,048$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Yes | 4c | 859.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…de06backed Yes | 4c | 797.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Yes | 4c | 700$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 643.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…2e88backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a87…2500backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5102…7b08backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 4c | 488.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Yes | 4c | 459.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…a834backed Yes | 4c | 421.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 4c | 413.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Yes | 4c | 387.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 4c | 366$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…7313backed Yes | 4c | 357.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 5c | 316.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 4c | 310$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 4c | 296.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…926abacked Yes | 4c | 253.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4ed8backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…cc98backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq leading at halftime?this page
- France leading at halftime?Yes won
- France vs. Iraq: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.