Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Iraq: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bd62de09161822344ea21096786ab2a7fd52c89c6ca07c1ce817ac42a3d6373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 46,170$35,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,544.75 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 22c | 13,500$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 8c | 7,244$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.44 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 6,956$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.97 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 23c | 5,248$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.43 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 4,938$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 3,379$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.17 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 2,853$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.94 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 21c | 2,072$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.79 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,759$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,301$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 80c | 1,290$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.03 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 20c | 1,106$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.71 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 587.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 20c | 575.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.07 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…5769backed Yes | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 455.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb9…7ae9backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 22c | 449.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…de06backed Yes | 5c | 441.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 23c | 435$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 78c | 429.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 79c | 399.98$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 24c | 399.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…45c1backed Yes | 27c | 390$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…fd5ebacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 338.82$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 78c | 331.88$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 23c | 240$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 21c | 203.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 78c | 174$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 22c | 159.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…a00bbacked Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…6b9abacked Yes | 16c | 129.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ba…9705backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 122$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 20c | 110.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…473cbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 21c | 87.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…2964backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 76c | 85.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1926…7f27backed Yes | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 78c | 81.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…66aebacked No | 78c | 79.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 21c | 74.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Yes | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 77c | 59.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd264…f6bdbacked No | 77c | 58.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…14b5backed Yes | 23c | 50.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes | 24c | 45.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Yes | 25c | 41.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 29c | 40.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…29d9backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 77c | 26.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d60…4a57backed No | 79c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 79c | 19.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965c…ec2bbacked No | 79c | 18.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 78c | 18.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…1d9dbacked No | 78c | 16.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Iraq: Draw at halftime?this page
- France leading at halftime?Yes won
- Iraq leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.