Asian League · resolved market
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2563f5d00f5ea2520fabcfc194cc17ca5da58595247a4e02676b17ad6c94d798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 42c | 12,428$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,207.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 46c | 6,494$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.61 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 58c | 5,750$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 3,519$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.81 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 49c | 3,281$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.5 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 3,026$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.54 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 2,459$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.16 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed No | 3c | 2,199$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed Yes | 43c | 1,465$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 58c | 1,044$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.1 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 649.15$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.51 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 591.57$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.11 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 438$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 322$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 28c | 249.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50b…672dbacked Yes | 77c | 248.86$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 236.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.78 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa437…0df3backed Yes | 46c | 217.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 54c | 189.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 23c | 164.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 17c | 145.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 58c | 137.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Yes | 74c | 111.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes | 77c | 94.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 57c | 88.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea67…ceebbacked Yes | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 42c | 71.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 25c | 68.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 22c | 67.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 58c | 60.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 64c | 60.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Yes | 42c | 59.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 40c | 58.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4686…da55backed Yes | 78c | 57.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 39c | 53.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 60c | 49.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…5be4backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed No | 41c | 33.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 59c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 75c | 32.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2907…17a5backed Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 60c | 31.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 41c | 31.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…ae0dbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 22.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4514…a154backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-06-06?No won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.