Asian League · resolved market
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05df709577c8c7ae8ee0323ff1696d978e00e50f79b759d56d668eeced029bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 4,282$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.16 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Yes | 34c | 3,010$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 2,517$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.28 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Yes | 22c | 1,441$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Yes | 34c | 1,428$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 364.93$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 20c | 285$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 30c | 263.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 213.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 195.16$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes | 30c | 116.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 105.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 18c | 77.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 71c | 63.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 79c | 57.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 38.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 17.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 17.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…839bbacked No | 67c | 16.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 69c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 80c | 14.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d32…401cbacked No | 79c | 12.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse end in a draw?this page
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-06-06?No won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.