Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe694e1ea9fac1388842fad32fe4ca4a8b8a592513f1553ddd390f41b0f4d70a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $502,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 76c | 52,006$39,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,475.37 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 68c | 41,154$28,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,994.43 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 31,495$21,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,968.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 29,716$7,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,224.65 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 31c | 29,000$8,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,989.91 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 68c | 20,194$13,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,464.09 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.93 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed No | 33c | 19,979$6,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,493.06 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 67c | 12,484$8,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.31 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed No | 32c | 12,071$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.59 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes | 69c | 11,567$7,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.81 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 31c | 11,454$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.86 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 32c | 10,538$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.14 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 2c | 9,408$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.1 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 9,307$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.75 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 30c | 8,588$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.08 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 69c | 8,572$5,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.19 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed No | 31c | 8,318$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.46 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 6c | 8,260$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.06 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 67c | 7,208$4,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.79 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5d…4a56backed No | 1c | 6,782$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked No | 31c | 6,774$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 32c | 6,587$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.86 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 69c | 5,507$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.25 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 31c | 5,055$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.01 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed No | 33c | 4,707$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 31c | 4,358$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.95 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 32c | 3,825$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.42 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 67c | 3,742$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.93 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed No | 33c | 3,612$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 31c | 3,600$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed No | 31c | 3,500$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.98 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed No | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Yes | 69c | 3,102$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.71 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc087…dbbabacked Yes | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368f…fd94backed Yes | 68c | 2,909$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.96 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 1c | 2,112$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 31c | 1,996$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.91 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 37c | 1,915$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.82 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked No | 32c | 1,912$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.93 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,912$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.76 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 68c | 1,838$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.24 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Yes | 68c | 1,531$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.81 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked No | 31c | 1,490$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.89 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…5ad0backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 7c | 1,417$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Yes | 69c | 1,304$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.35 | 205 | 47.3%97 W · 108 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.01 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed No | 32c | 1,175$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked No | 32c | 1,159$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…54a1backed Yes | 67c | 1,121$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.93 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…40fabacked Yes | 69c | 1,087$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.96 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 67c | 1,077$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.37 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 32c | 1,070$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.35 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 68c | 1,034$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.26 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Yes | 69c | 1,025$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.87 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 35c | 1,002$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.7 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c6…4366backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…910dbacked No | 31c | 988.02$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 24c | 941.1$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.78 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 64c | 926$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.36 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 77c | 909.09$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c9…ff5ebacked Yes | 69c | 893.17$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd26…d405backed Yes | 69c | 884.04$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 6c | 881.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb202…04adbacked Yes | 67c | 855.16$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.81 | 80 | 71.3%57 W · 23 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 32c | 839.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.19 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 33c | 837.46$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.45 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 6c | 768.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…7714backed Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 69c | 719.3$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.98 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 70c | 715.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.78 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…3475backed Yes | 69c | 685.57$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.53 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 32c | 663$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.16 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…5657backed Yes | 69c | 592.64$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.72 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…ec9cbacked Yes | 69c | 591.33$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.61 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59be…dc3ebacked Yes | 69c | 570.02$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.03 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Yes | 69c | 543.75$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 67c | 540.15$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7df…9e41backed Yes | 69c | 539.33$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…d7b8backed No | 32c | 512$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c0…7e64backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…66aebacked No | 31c | 499.96$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 31c | 475$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Yes | 69c | 473.91$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Yes | 69c | 463.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.77 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 69c | 452.64$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.32 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27dc…3573backed Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…6150backed Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…7f8bbacked Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Yes | 68c | 439.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.11 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 75c | 423.9$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal leading at halftime?this page
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Draw at halftime?No won
- Uzbekistan leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.