Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e2c194db95ffb0d19f8347b7b5fedd13fc98d7cc32da026d2f491791c5886e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 23,686$17,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,310.43 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 11,170$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.25 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 27c | 11,110$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.67 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 1c | 8,900$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Yes | 28c | 8,284$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.43 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked No | 73c | 6,000$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 73c | 5,701$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.29 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 27c | 5,374$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.06 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 4,350$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.17 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 3,923$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes | 26c | 2,192$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.92 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,002$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.73 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…cc8fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987c…8c2bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,800$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 4c | 1,394$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 6c | 1,135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 1,061$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.32 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 962.96$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.29 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 29c | 905.63$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.6 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 3c | 799.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Yes | 6c | 770$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…e679backed Yes | 32c | 569.24$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.75 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 19c | 510.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 73c | 475$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 72c | 469.81$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.7 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 19c | 373$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…625dbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 363.7$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d08…8b24backed Yes | 27c | 352.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 29c | 344.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 27c | 337.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 74c | 297.81$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 283.95$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 75c | 282.65$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 238.52$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 232.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 28c | 199.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 72c | 193.88$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 72c | 188.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…876fbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 27c | 185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 27c | 184.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 73c | 180.09$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 73c | 175.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 74c | 173.64$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…745cbacked No | 68c | 166.15$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 214 | 33.2%71 W · 143 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes | 17c | 150.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 28c | 141$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1060…d28bbacked Yes | 36c | 139.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 64c | 134.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 73c | 121.87$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 75c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03f…ae7ebacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…85adbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…473cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…66aebacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 18c | 84.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…d613backed No | 74c | 79.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9251…e6b9backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17bb…6506backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 73c | 73.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…4ddebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f00…e8dbbacked Yes | 16c | 66.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Yes | 27c | 65.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Yes | 26c | 60.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…b88fbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed No | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 403 | 52.1%210 W · 193 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 29c | 41.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…3955backed No | 73c | 20.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 73c | 14.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Draw at halftime?this page
- Portugal leading at halftime?Yes won
- Uzbekistan leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.