Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x069189619c7ae96da2abd767071f659190af6cadf9ef1c0b875f99268b5b4ebe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,635,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,928,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,635,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,913 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 78c | 2,057,895$1,610,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447,078.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 22c | 566,409$123,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,271.21 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 341,716$83,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,094.02 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 60c | 330,194$199,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,487.52 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 39c | 292,454$114,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,057.03 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 28c | 186,422$53,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,110.87 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Yes | 61c | 161,091$98,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,396.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f80…8a96backed No | 39c | 156,097$61,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,308.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 60c | 152,443$91,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,620.41 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 28c | 140,000$39,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,800 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 61c | 134,838$82,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,586.74 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 26c | 125,273$32,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,619.09 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 22c | 115,471$25,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,403.67 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 23c | 115,200$26,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,916.9 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed No | 38c | 107,208$40,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,807.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 40c | 72,301$28,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,920.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 21c | 65,000$13,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,899.97 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 56,949$14,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,199.69 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 61c | 55,754$33,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,972.85 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 61c | 55,206$33,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,598.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 38c | 52,928$20,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,312.62 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…6e0abacked No | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 39c | 50,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 23c | 50,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 26c | 48,516$12,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,424.6 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Yes | 61c | 48,491$29,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,911.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 44,184$10,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,823.02 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 61c | 43,500$26,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,965 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 39c | 43,417$16,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,932.45 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 22c | 40,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 41c | 37,799$15,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,587.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 40c | 37,500$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 23c | 35,000$7,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,962.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 25c | 32,220$8,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,034.55 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed No | 40c | 32,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 39c | 31,908$12,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,444 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 58c | 31,716$18,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,327.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 23c | 30,611$6,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,988.13 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 27,940$11,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,076.22 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 24c | 27,100$6,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,536.67 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 60c | 25,956$15,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,372.74 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 20c | 25,802$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.05 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 34c | 25,246$8,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,581.55 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Yes | 61c | 24,759$15,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,656.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 22c | 24,102$5,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,395.21 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes | 60c | 23,844$14,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,537.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 39c | 23,258$9,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,072.32 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 22c | 20,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.96 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 19,788$7,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,748.98 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 61c | 19,541$11,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,620.99 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 28c | 18,399$5,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,151.78 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 40c | 17,750$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed No | 23c | 17,406$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 54c | 17,233$9,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,847.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked No | 21c | 16,891$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 56c | 16,465$9,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,244.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 38c | 16,299$6,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,193.47 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 15,838$4,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,630.86 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…3591backed No | 31c | 15,705$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 28c | 15,537$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,314.98 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 24c | 14,583$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 60c | 14,509$8,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,826.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 13,496$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.76 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 61c | 13,113$8,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,102.27 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 20c | 13,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 39c | 13,000$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,069.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked No | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 28c | 11,751$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.73 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 32c | 11,711$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.89 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes | 61c | 11,000$6,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 61c | 11,000$6,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 57c | 10,613$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.9 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked No | 39c | 10,100$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Yes | 56c | 10,020$5,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,408.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 23c | 9,500$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 39c | 9,030$3,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.25 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 49c | 8,873$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,374.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 60c | 8,750$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 39c | 8,546$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,352.37 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 41c | 7,827$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.04 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed No | 40c | 7,762$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 27c | 7,440$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 24c | 7,081$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.07 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 29c | 6,852$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.89 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 61c | 6,579$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.94 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +12.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 23c | 6,545$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 39c | 6,480$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 25c | 6,244$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.56 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 39c | 6,090$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.37 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9826…e7febacked No | 23c | 6,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 75c | 6,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.99 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.