Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86e9618f9dfbf84ad4a87c8f704c72f65a63e2ae0c679c74a20f818fb6a8ba6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,955,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,905,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,955,159 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,559 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa614…e553backed Yes	18c	296,099$53,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,297.78	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	42cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	18c	267,957$47,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,681.32	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes	17c	161,908$27,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,241.97	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…b8e0backed Yes	18c	67,181$12,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,092.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Yes	18c	39,827$7,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,168.78	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	20cpaid	+26%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c1…d98bbacked Yes	18c	33,335$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.93	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d8…0c91backed Yes	18c	33,333$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d14…ee01backed Yes	6c	30,000$1,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,820	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-3.4wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed Yes	11c	28,142$3,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,156	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes	18c	25,833$4,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,650	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	0c	23,819$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.14	62	21%13 W · 49 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf98…6e0abacked Yes	18c	20,081$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x555b…c93dbacked Yes	8c	19,864$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	14c	18,630$2,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,539.32	272	36.4%99 W · 173 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x824c…e309backed Yes	1c	18,110$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.35	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed Yes	6c	17,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes	24c	15,375$3,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,690.09	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	76c	15,086$11,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,621.61	247	42.5%105 W · 142 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes	17c	14,649$2,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,490.26	82	23.2%19 W · 63 L	-9.7wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	79c	14,153$11,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,992.47	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb456…4347backed Yes	5c	13,950$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.51	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b2…0945backed Yes	8c	13,120$1,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.4	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540d…122bbacked Yes	19c	12,910$2,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,452.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330f…d4b1backed Yes	19c	12,765$2,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,381.81	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Yes	18c	12,291$2,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,212.47	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes	6c	12,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes	17c	11,765$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c14…52c8backed Yes	18c	11,158$2,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,008.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes	18c	11,120$2,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,001.6	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+6.0wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes	18c	11,111$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes	1c	11,000$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes	18c	10,783$1,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,940.86	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd94…7f44backed Yes	4c	10,774$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe166…8f14backed Yes	17c	10,704$1,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,819.76	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Yes	25c	10,683$2,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,621.4	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes	17c	10,200$1,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,736	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Yes	4c	10,031$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.62	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes	7c	10,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+28%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes	18c	8,494$1,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,555	106	28.3%30 W · 76 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc733…3805backed Yes	13c	8,444$1,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,083.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes	17c	8,235$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Yes	17c	8,105$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	31cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0049…3a9abacked Yes	10c	8,068$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.37	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0be5…cf29backed Yes	18c	7,949$1,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,430.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f45…180bbacked Yes	7c	7,143$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	14c	6,645$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.76	704	35.8%252 W · 452 L	-27.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes	18c	6,485$1,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,166.95	59	28.8%17 W · 42 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9970…09bebacked Yes	8c	6,366$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc821…6a7ebacked Yes	19c	6,250$1,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,187.42	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes	16c	6,232$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.15	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes	17c	6,153$1,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,046.05	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac20…a68abacked Yes	10c	5,952$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes	6c	5,357$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	34cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	17c	5,157$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901.87	875	31.1%272 W · 603 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	19c	5,150$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.5	402	22.9%92 W · 310 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5424…f10dbacked Yes	18c	5,114$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920.51	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	31cpaid	-55%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes	18c	5,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.18per pick	29cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes	18c	5,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	36cpaid	-47%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes	18c	5,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.99	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	+11.3wins	+0.14per pick	30cpaid	+60.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Yes	17c	4,914$851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850.59	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce5…141bbacked Yes	12c	4,838$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.75	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes	18c	4,687$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	+5.9wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	+109.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x88cb…bb54backed Yes	13c	4,476$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Yes	18c	4,444$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.69	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes	18c	4,400$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	18c	4,400$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792	433	33.5%145 W · 288 L	-12.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb3b…de48backed Yes	15c	4,277$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28d2…38aebacked Yes	18c	4,122$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$741.98	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…c131backed Yes	20c	4,102$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	6c	4,022$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.76	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-40%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes	18c	4,000$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes	15c	3,945$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+4.2wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes	18c	3,896$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.88	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes	18c	3,790$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes	13c	3,464$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6053…2c5fbacked Yes	11c	3,397$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes	18c	3,250$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585	144	31.9%46 W · 98 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes	17c	3,235$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.18per pick	28cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc199…a956backed Yes	17c	3,176$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x676a…a7c7backed Yes	18c	3,129$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.21	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes	19c	3,090$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.5	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8284…86f0backed Yes	18c	3,076$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.68	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	18cpaid	+116.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes	6c	3,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes	18c	3,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes	18c	3,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes	16c	3,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.99	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf392…46eebacked Yes	17c	3,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.99	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d0e…73a2backed Yes	18c	2,928$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes	18c	2,778$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x09bd…140cbacked Yes	18c	2,778$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Yes	18c	2,778$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes	11c	2,778$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes	18c	2,768$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.15	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…e166backed Yes	18c	2,723$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Yes	19c	2,700$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	34cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dfa…2dd7backed Yes	18c	2,696$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.24	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	35cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfad2…98b1backed Yes	17c	2,615$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes	18c	2,599$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.91	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes	13c	2,577$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd3…bd26backed Yes	12c	2,548$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?this page
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?No won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event